Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 03/10, 18:00

Prediction: HUSA Agadir vs MAS Fes

Team pages: HUSA Agadir · MAS Fes

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
HUSA Agadir0.89
MAS Fes1.16
1X2
27% 32% 41%
HUSA Agadir Draw MAS Fes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
HUSA Agadir 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DWWLWDDLDW
MAS Fes 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WDDWLWWDWW
Head-to-head
HUSA Agadir 1–2–3 MAS Fes (6 last)
  • MAS Fes4-0HUSA Agadir
  • HUSA Agadir0-2MAS Fes
  • HUSA Agadir2-2MAS Fes
  • MAS Fes1-0HUSA Agadir
  • MAS Fes2-2HUSA Agadir
  • HUSA Agadir2-1MAS Fes
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HUSA Agadir 1511 · MAS Fes 1576
HUSA AgadirDrawMAS Fes
Our model27%33%41%
Market28%31%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.05 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MAS Fes (rating 1511 vs 1576).
  • H2H favours MAS Fes: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HUSA AgadirMAS Fes
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.81.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.20.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/80/0%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.61.2 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.15.7 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · HUSA Agadir 1–2–3 MAS Fes

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/04/26
Morocco GNF 1
MAS Fes4-0
HT 1-0
HUSA Agadir
20/09/25
Morocco GNF 1
HUSA Agadir0-2
HT 0-2
MAS Fes
19/01/25
Morocco GNF 1
HUSA Agadir2-2
HT 2-0
MAS Fes
27/09/24
Morocco GNF 1
MAS Fes1-0
HT 1-0
HUSA Agadir
27/05/24
Morocco GNF 1
MAS Fes2-2
HT 1-1
HUSA Agadir
29/12/23
Morocco GNF 1
HUSA Agadir2-1
HT 2-0
MAS Fes

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CODM Meknes 1100 623
2 Ittihad Tanger 1100 313
2 Widad Temara 1100 313
4 HUSA Agadir 1100 323
5 MAS Fes 1100 213
5 Union de Touarga 1100 213
7 MAT Tetouan 1010 001
7 RSB Berkane 1010 001
9 FAR Rabat 0000 000
9 Raja Casablanca 0000 000
11 KACM Marrakesh 1001 230
12 FUS Rabat 1001 120
12 Renaissance Zemamra 1001 120
14 US Amal Tiznit 1001 130
14 WAC Casablanca 1001 130
16 Difaa El Jadida 1001 260

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHUSA AgadirMAS Fes
KACM Marrakesh 3-2 W 0-0 D
Renaissance Zemamra 1-1 D 2-1 W
US Yacoub El Mansour 1-2 L 2-1 W
RSB Berkane 1-0 W 1-2 L
Olympique Dcheira 1-0 W 2-0 W
FUS Rabat 0-0 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MAS Fes (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HUSA Agadir

DWWLWDDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 3-2 53 W
05/07 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 1-1 36 D
02/07 Raja Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-2 46 L
28/06 Renaissance Zemamra
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-1 42 D
25/06 CODM Meknes
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 25 D
21/06 Union de Touarga
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-0 34 W
18/06 US Yacoub El Mansour
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-2 26 L
14/06 RSB Berkane
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-0 61 W
08/06 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-0 67 W
04/06 FUS Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 114 D

MAS Fes

WDDWLWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/09 Renaissance Zemamra
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 2-1 64 W
05/07 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 2-0 –– W
02/07 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 03 D
28/06 US Yacoub El Mansour
Morocco GNF 1
2-0 2-1 24 W
25/06 WAC Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-0 16 W
21/06 RSB Berkane
Morocco GNF 1
1-2 1-2 67 L
17/06 Difaa El Jadida
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 2-1 35 W
12/06 FUS Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-1 611 D
09/06 FAR Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 13 D
01/06 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 2-1 111 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HUSA Agadir vs MAS Fes?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MAS Fes win (41%). Probabilities: HUSA Agadir 27%, draw 32%, MAS Fes 41%.

How many goals are expected in HUSA Agadir vs MAS Fes?

The model expects 2.05 goals (HUSA Agadir 0.89 · MAS Fes 1.16), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in HUSA Agadir vs MAS Fes?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.