Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 26/09, 20:00

Prediction: Difaa El Jadida vs CODM Meknes

Team pages: Difaa El Jadida · CODM Meknes

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.4Total

Difaa El Jadida1.29

CODM Meknes1.11

1X2

39% 31% 30%

Difaa El Jadida Draw CODM Meknes

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Difaa El Jadida 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDDLWWDDL

CODM Meknes 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLDDWL

Head-to-head

Difaa El Jadida 3–2–1 CODM Meknes (6 last)

CODM Meknes0-1Difaa El Jadida
Difaa El Jadida0-0CODM Meknes
Difaa El Jadida2-1CODM Meknes
CODM Meknes3-0Difaa El Jadida
CODM Meknes1-1Difaa El Jadida
Difaa El Jadida4-2CODM Meknes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Difaa El Jadida 1500 · CODM Meknes 1475

	Difaa El Jadida	Draw	CODM Meknes
Our model	39%	30%	31%
Market	38%	31%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Difaa El Jadida: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Difaa El Jadida	CODM Meknes
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.4	2.1 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.35

X2.88

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.05

2 (+0.25)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 10:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.35▲	Pinn 2.42
X	2.90 → 2.88▼	Bet365 2.88
2	3.40 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.32 ★

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +21’	2.10	2.90	3.40
15:49 +7’	2.38▲	2.88▼	2.90▼
01:22 +18’	2.20▼	2.88	3.20▲
08:48 +2’	2.25▲	2.88	3.10▼
10:19 +5’	2.35▲	2.88	3.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:45 +10’	2.33	2.67	3.49
08:50 +93’	2.42▲	2.64▼	3.32▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Difaa El Jadida 3–2–1 CODM Meknes

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Morocco GNF 1	CODM Meknes	0-1 HT 0-0	Difaa El Jadida
14/09/25 Morocco GNF 1	Difaa El Jadida	0-0 HT 0-0	CODM Meknes
16/03/25 Morocco GNF 1	Difaa El Jadida	2-1 HT 0-1	CODM Meknes
08/11/24 Morocco GNF 1	CODM Meknes	3-0 HT 2-0	Difaa El Jadida
03/03/24 Morocco GNF 2	CODM Meknes	1-1	Difaa El Jadida
29/09/23 Morocco GNF 2	Difaa El Jadida	4-2 HT 3-1	CODM Meknes

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ittihad Tanger	1	1	0	3	1	3
2	FAR Rabat	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	CODM Meknes	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Difaa El Jadida	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	FUS Rabat	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	HUSA Agadir	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	KACM Marrakesh	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MAS Fes	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	MAT Tetouan	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Raja Casablanca	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Renaissance Zemamra	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	RSB Berkane	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Union de Touarga	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	WAC Casablanca	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Widad Temara	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	US Amal Tiznit	1	0	1	1	3	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Difaa El Jadida	CODM Meknes
US Yacoub El Mansour	2-2 D	1-1 D
KACM Marrakesh	1-1 D	1-3 L
Union de Touarga	2-1 W	0-2 L
Olympique Dcheira	2-2 D	2-1 W
FAR Rabat	1-2 L	3-2 W
OC Safi	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Difaa El Jadida

DLDDLWWDDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/07	RSB Berkane Morocco GNF 1	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
02/07	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1	2-2	2-2	2	3	D
28/06	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
25/06	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	0-0	2-1	0	3	W
21/06	WAC Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
17/06	MAS Fes Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
12/06	Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1	0-2	2-2	5	2	D
08/06	FUS Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
04/06	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
23/05	OC Safi Morocco GNF 1	1-0	1-1	6	3	D

CODM Meknes

LWDLLLDDWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/07	Ittihad Tanger Morocco GNF 1	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
02/07	FAR Rabat Morocco GNF 1	1-1	3-2	3	6	W
28/06	OC Safi Morocco GNF 1	0-1	2-2	9	7	D
25/06	HUSA Agadir Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
21/06	Raja Casablanca Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-2	5	7	L
17/06	Union de Touarga Morocco GNF 1	0-0	0-2	2	7	L
12/06	Renaissance Zemamra Morocco GNF 1	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
09/06	US Yacoub El Mansour Morocco GNF 1	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
01/06	Olympique Dcheira Morocco GNF 1	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
22/05	KACM Marrakesh Morocco GNF 1	0-2	1-3	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Difaa El Jadida vs CODM Meknes?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Difaa El Jadida win (39%). Probabilities: Difaa El Jadida 39%, draw 31%, CODM Meknes 30%.

How many goals are expected in Difaa El Jadida vs CODM Meknes?

The model expects 2.4 goals (Difaa El Jadida 1.29 · CODM Meknes 1.11), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Difaa El Jadida vs CODM Meknes?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.