Prediction: Brew Saga vs Nexus Miyakonojo
Team pages: Brew Saga · Nexus Miyakonojo
- Nexus Miyakonojo2-2Brew Saga
| Brew Saga | Draw | Nexus Miyakonojo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brew Saga (rating 1508 vs 1462).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brew Saga | Nexus Miyakonojo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.4 | 1 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brew Saga 0–1–0 Nexus Miyakonojo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Japan Regional League | Nexus Miyakonojo | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Brew Saga |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Brew Saga | Nexus Miyakonojo |
|---|---|---|
| KMG Holdings | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Veroskronos Tsuno | 1-6 L | 1-7 L |
| Nippon Steel Oita | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Nobeoka Agata | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| MHI Nagasaki | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Kawasoe Club | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| NIFS Kanoya FC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Brew Saga (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brew Saga
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | KMG Holdings Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-5 | 1-6 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | Nobeoka Agata Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 27/06 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Nexus Miyakonojo Japan Regional League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | KMG Holdings Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Nexus Miyakonojo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | CA Celeste Japan Regional League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 18/07 | Nobeoka Agata Japan Regional League |
– | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | MHI Nagasaki Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | Kawasoe Club Japan Regional League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 28/06 | NIFS Kanoya FC Japan Regional League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Veroskronos Tsuno Japan Regional League |
0-4 | 1-7 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | KMG Holdings Japan Regional League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Brew Saga Japan Regional League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Nippon Steel Oita Japan Regional League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Brew Saga vs Nexus Miyakonojo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Brew Saga win (50%). Probabilities: Brew Saga 50%, draw 23%, Nexus Miyakonojo 27%.
How many goals are expected in Brew Saga vs Nexus Miyakonojo?
The model expects 3.53 goals (Brew Saga 2.05 · Nexus Miyakonojo 1.47), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Brew Saga vs Nexus Miyakonojo?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

