Football · Japan Regional League · 19/09, 03:00

Prediction: Brew Saga vs Nexus Miyakonojo

Team pages: Brew Saga · Nexus Miyakonojo

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.53Total
Brew Saga2.05
Nexus Miyakonojo1.47
1X2
50% 23% 27%
Brew Saga Draw Nexus Miyakonojo
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Brew Saga 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLDWDWLWLW
Nexus Miyakonojo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WDLLLWLLDW
Head-to-head
Brew Saga 0–1–0 Nexus Miyakonojo (1 last)
  • Nexus Miyakonojo2-2Brew Saga
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brew Saga 1508 · Nexus Miyakonojo 1462
Brew SagaDrawNexus Miyakonojo
Our model50%23%27%
Market50%24%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brew Saga (rating 1508 vs 1462).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Brew SagaNexus Miyakonojo
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.81.6 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 10.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.41 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.4 / 0.12.9 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brew Saga 010 Nexus Miyakonojo

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DateHomeScoreAway
13/06/26
Japan Regional League
Nexus Miyakonojo2-2
HT 0-2
Brew Saga

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBrew SagaNexus Miyakonojo
KMG Holdings 2-0 W 1-4 L
Veroskronos Tsuno 1-6 L 1-7 L
Nippon Steel Oita 1-0 W 4-2 W
Nobeoka Agata 0-2 L 2-4 L
MHI Nagasaki 1-0 W 0-2 L
Kawasoe Club 0-0 D 2-1 W
NIFS Kanoya FC 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Brew Saga (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brew Saga

LLDWDWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 KMG Holdings
Japan Regional League
1-0 2-0 51 W
06/09 Veroskronos Tsuno
Japan Regional League
0-5 1-6 50 L
18/07 Nippon Steel Oita
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-0 W
05/07 Nobeoka Agata
Japan Regional League
0-1 0-2 91 L
28/06 MHI Nagasaki
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-0 11 W
27/06 Kawasoe Club
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-0 62 D
14/06 NIFS Kanoya FC
Japan Regional League
0-0 1-0 101 W
13/06 Nexus Miyakonojo
Japan Regional League
2-0 2-2 70 D
31/05 KMG Holdings
Japan Regional League
1-1 2-4 26 L
24/05 Veroskronos Tsuno
Japan Regional League
0-3 0-4 42 L

Nexus Miyakonojo

WDLLLWLLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Nippon Steel Oita
Japan Regional League
2-1 4-2 41 W
06/09 CA Celeste
Japan Regional League
2-1 2-2 75 D
18/07 Nobeoka Agata
Japan Regional League
2-4 L
12/07 MHI Nagasaki
Japan Regional League
0-0 0-2 01 L
04/07 Kawasoe Club
Japan Regional League
0-0 2-1 56 W
28/06 NIFS Kanoya FC
Japan Regional League
1-1 1-2 53 L
27/06 Veroskronos Tsuno
Japan Regional League
0-4 1-7 15 L
14/06 KMG Holdings
Japan Regional League
0-1 1-4 43 L
13/06 Brew Saga
Japan Regional League
0-2 2-2 10 D
31/05 Nippon Steel Oita
Japan Regional League
1-0 1-0 13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brew Saga vs Nexus Miyakonojo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brew Saga win (50%). Probabilities: Brew Saga 50%, draw 23%, Nexus Miyakonojo 27%.

How many goals are expected in Brew Saga vs Nexus Miyakonojo?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Brew Saga 2.05 · Nexus Miyakonojo 1.47), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Brew Saga vs Nexus Miyakonojo?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.