Football · Peru Liga 2 · 25/09, 22:15

Prediction: Comerciantes FC vs Sport Huancayo II

Team pages: Comerciantes FC · Sport Huancayo II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Comerciantes FC1.58

Sport Huancayo II0.76

1X2

56% 26% 17%

Comerciantes FC Draw Sport Huancayo II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Comerciantes FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWLDDDLW

Sport Huancayo II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDWLWLWW

Head-to-head

Comerciantes FC 1–1–0 Sport Huancayo II (2 last)

Sport Huancayo II1-1Comerciantes FC
Comerciantes FC3-2Sport Huancayo II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Comerciantes FC 1511 · Sport Huancayo II 1536

	Comerciantes FC	Draw	Sport Huancayo II
Our model	56%	27%	17%
Market	57%	25%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Comerciantes FC	Sport Huancayo II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	1.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.7 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 4.5	2.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:46 +24’	1.57	3.50	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Comerciantes FC 1–1–0 Sport Huancayo II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Peru Liga 2	Sport Huancayo II	1-1 HT 0-0	Comerciantes FC
29/03/26 Peru Liga 2	Comerciantes FC	3-2 HT 1-1	Sport Huancayo II

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Comerciantes FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Club Ada Jaen	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportivo Llacuabamba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sport Huancayo II	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Comerciantes FC	Sport Huancayo II
Ayacucho FC	5-1 W	2-0 W
Deportivo Binacional	0-1 L	7-0 W
Union Minas	2-2 D	1-2 L
CD Estudiantil CNI	2-2 D	1-0 W
Bentin Tacna Heroica	2-2 D	0-1 L
Santos FC	0-1 L	2-0 W
Alianza Universidad	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Comerciantes FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Comerciantes FC

WDDWLDDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2	1-0	5-1	7	6	W
29/08	Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Union Minas Peru Liga 2	0-1	2-2	7	2	D
15/08	CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2	2-2	2-2	6	2	D
09/08	Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2	2-2	2-2	2	2	D
01/08	Santos FC Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
24/07	Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/07	Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-1	2	3	D
22/05	Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
16/05	Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2	3-0	3-0	7	2	W

Sport Huancayo II

WDDDWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
04/09	Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2	4-0	7-0	7	4	W
30/08	Union Minas Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-2	4	8	L
21/08	CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
16/08	Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
08/08	Santos FC Peru Liga 2	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
31/07	Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
18/07	Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
01/06	Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
22/05	Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-0	5	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Comerciantes FC vs Sport Huancayo II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Comerciantes FC win (56%). Probabilities: Comerciantes FC 56%, draw 26%, Sport Huancayo II 17%.

How many goals are expected in Comerciantes FC vs Sport Huancayo II?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Comerciantes FC 1.58 · Sport Huancayo II 0.76), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Comerciantes FC vs Sport Huancayo II?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.