Football · Peru Liga 2 · 31/10, 21:15

Prediction: Union Comercio vs Union Minas

Team pages: Union Comercio · Union Minas

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Union Comercio1.43
Union Minas0.98
1X2
48% 26% 26%
Union Comercio Draw Union Minas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Comercio 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDDWLWLWDL
Union Minas 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDWDWLWLWL
Head-to-head
Union Comercio 0–1 Union Minas (1 last)
  • Union Minas4-1Union Comercio
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Comercio 1509 · Union Minas 1514
Union ComercioDrawUnion Minas
Our model46%29%24%
Market49%24%27%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union ComercioUnion Minas
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.91.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.20.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 3.42.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.64.2 / 1.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Comercio 0–0–1 Union Minas

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/10/26
Peru Liga 2
Union Minas4-1
HT 1-1
Union Comercio

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Comercio 5212 969
2 Pirata FC 5302 469
3 Union Minas 5203 957
4 Ayacucho FC 5212 497

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion ComercioUnion Minas
Pirata FC 0-1 L 4-0 W
Ayacucho FC 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Comercio

WDDWLWLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/10 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 46 L
18/10 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-1 39 D
12/10 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
2-0 5-0 43 W
06/10 Union Minas
Peru Liga 2
1-1 1-4 113 L
27/09 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-0 63 W
13/09 Club Ada Jaen
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 22 L
06/09 CD Universidad San Martin
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-0 54 W
30/08 Deportivo Llacuabamba
Peru Liga 2
1-0 1-1 26 D
23/08 Carlos Manucci
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-0 44 D
17/08 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-1 36 W

Union Minas

WDWDWLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 1-2 93 L
17/10 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
2-0 4-0 –– W
12/10 Pirata FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 0-1 64 L
06/10 Union Comercio
Peru Liga 2
1-1 4-1 1113 W
26/09 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-1 0-1 33 L
12/09 Santos FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 2-0 44 W
06/09 Alianza Universidad
Peru Liga 2
0-0 1-1 35 D
30/08 Sport Huancayo II
Peru Liga 2
0-0 2-1 38 W
22/08 Comerciantes FC
Peru Liga 2
1-0 2-2 32 D
15/08 Ayacucho FC
Peru Liga 2
0-0 3-1 56 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Comercio vs Union Minas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Comercio win (48%). Probabilities: Union Comercio 48%, draw 26%, Union Minas 26%.

How many goals are expected in Union Comercio vs Union Minas?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Union Comercio 1.43 · Union Minas 0.98), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Comercio vs Union Minas?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.