Football · Malawi Super League · 01/11, 14:00
Prediction: Mighty Wanderers vs Dedza Dynamos
Team pages: Mighty Wanderers · Dedza Dynamos
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Mighty Wanderers1.73
Dedza Dynamos0.45
1X2
Mighty Wanderers
Draw
Dedza Dynamos
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
1-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Mighty Wanderers
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Dedza Dynamos
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Mighty Wanderers
3–3–0
Dedza Dynamos
(6 last)
- Dedza Dynamos1-1Mighty Wanderers
- Dedza Dynamos0-1Mighty Wanderers
- Mighty Wanderers2-0Dedza Dynamos
- Dedza Dynamos0-0Mighty Wanderers
- Mighty Wanderers3-1Dedza Dynamos
- Mighty Wanderers1-1Dedza Dynamos
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mighty Wanderers 1514 · Dedza Dynamos 1519
| Mighty Wanderers | Draw | Dedza Dynamos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 24% | 8% |
| Market | 70% | 20% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Mighty Wanderers: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mighty Wanderers | Dedza Dynamos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/44/11% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mighty Wanderers 3–3–0 Dedza Dynamos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Malawi Super League | Dedza Dynamos | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Mighty Wanderers |
| 05/10/25 Malawi Super League | Dedza Dynamos | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Mighty Wanderers |
| 22/06/25 Malawi Super League | Mighty Wanderers | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Dedza Dynamos |
| 18/08/24 Malawi Super League | Dedza Dynamos | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mighty Wanderers |
| 01/06/24 Malawi Super League | Mighty Wanderers | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Dedza Dynamos |
| 25/06/23 Malawi Super League | Mighty Wanderers | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Dedza Dynamos |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Bullets | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 39 |
| 2 | Mighty Wanderers | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 34 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 33 |
| 5 | Chitipa United | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Ekhaya FC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 25 |
| 8 | Masters FC | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 23 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 23 |
| 10 | Red Lions | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Civil Service Utd | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 21 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 20 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 14 | Creck SC | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 16 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 14 |
| 16 | MAFCO | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 24 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Mighty Wanderers | Dedza Dynamos |
|---|---|---|
| Karonga United | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Creck SC | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Silver Strikers | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Moyale Barracks | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Masters FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Civil Service Utd | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 4 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Mighty Wanderers (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mighty Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/07 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Dedza Dynamos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/09 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mighty Wanderers vs Dedza Dynamos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Mighty Wanderers win (69%). Probabilities: Mighty Wanderers 69%, draw 22%, Dedza Dynamos 9%.
How many goals are expected in Mighty Wanderers vs Dedza Dynamos?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Mighty Wanderers 1.73 · Dedza Dynamos 0.45), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Mighty Wanderers vs Dedza Dynamos?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.