Prediction: MAFCO vs Ekhaya FC
- Ekhaya FC1-0MAFCO
- MAFCO2-1Ekhaya FC
- Ekhaya FC1-0MAFCO
| MAFCO | Draw | Ekhaya FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 33% | 46% |
| Market | 22% | 31% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekhaya FC (rating 1403 vs 1524).
- H2H favours Ekhaya FC: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| MAFCO | Ekhaya FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.7 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/33/67% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.3 | 2.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · MAFCO 1–0–2 Ekhaya FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 Malawi Super League | Ekhaya FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | MAFCO |
| 27/09/25 Malawi Super League | MAFCO | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Ekhaya FC |
| 09/08/25 Malawi Super League | Ekhaya FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | MAFCO |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Big Bullets | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 39 |
| 2 | Mighty Wanderers | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 34 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 33 |
| 5 | Chitipa United | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Ekhaya FC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
| 7 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 25 |
| 8 | Masters FC | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 23 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 22 | 23 |
| 10 | Red Lions | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Civil Service Utd | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 21 |
| 12 | Dedza Dynamos | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 20 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 14 | Creck SC | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 16 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 14 |
| 16 | MAFCO | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 24 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | MAFCO | Ekhaya FC |
|---|---|---|
| Mitundu Baptist FC | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Big Bullets | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Chitipa United | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Blue Eagles | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Kamuzu Barracks | 1-4 L | 2-0 W |
| Red Lions | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ekhaya FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
MAFCO
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 10/10 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/07 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 18/07 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Ekhaya FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 18/10 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/07 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in MAFCO vs Ekhaya FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Ekhaya FC win (46%). Probabilities: MAFCO 22%, draw 32%, Ekhaya FC 46%.
How many goals are expected in MAFCO vs Ekhaya FC?
The model expects 1.87 goals (MAFCO 0.7 · Ekhaya FC 1.16), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in MAFCO vs Ekhaya FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.