Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 13/09, 12:30
Prediction: CE L'Hospitalet vs Lleida
Team pages: CE L'Hospitalet
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
CE L'Hospitalet1.35
Lleida1.33
1X2
CE L'Hospitalet
Draw
Lleida
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
CE L'Hospitalet
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Lleida
0-4-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CE L'Hospitalet
3–3
Lleida
(6 last)
- CE L'Hospitalet2-1Lleida
- Lleida0-1CE L'Hospitalet
- Lleida3-0CE L'Hospitalet
- CE L'Hospitalet3-2Lleida
- CE L'Hospitalet2-3Lleida
- Lleida2-1CE L'Hospitalet
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CE L'Hospitalet 1549 · Lleida 1415
| CE L'Hospitalet | Draw | Lleida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 28% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 29% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CE L'Hospitalet (rating 1549 vs 1415).
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CE L'Hospitalet | Lleida | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/44/0% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.1 | 2.3 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CE L'Hospitalet 3–0–3 Lleida
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | CE L'Hospitalet | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Lleida |
| 12/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Lleida | 0-1 HT 0-1 | CE L'Hospitalet |
| 23/01/21 Spain Segunda B Group 3 | Lleida | 3-0 HT 0-0 | CE L'Hospitalet |
| 24/10/20 Spain Segunda B Group 3 | CE L'Hospitalet | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Lleida |
| 22/01/17 Spain Segunda B Group 3 | CE L'Hospitalet | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Lleida |
| 28/09/16 Spain Segunda B Group 3 | Lleida | 2-1 | CE L'Hospitalet |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Montanesa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | UE Cornella | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | UE San Juan Montcada | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | FC Martinenc | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | FE Grama | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | CFJ Mollerussa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | CE L'Hospitalet | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Vilanova Geltru | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | Peralada | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | CP San Cristobal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | CE Europa B | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Atletic Lleida | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | FC L'Escala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Pobla Mafumet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | UE Tona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 | Badalona | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CE L'Hospitalet | Lleida |
|---|---|---|
| Vilanova Geltru | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| UE Cornella | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Badalona | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| CF Montanesa | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 4-4 D | 1-1 D |
| Peralada | 3-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: CE L'Hospitalet (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CE L'Hospitalet
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 13 | D |
| 12/04 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 22/03 | CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 15/03 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Lleida
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/04 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/04 | UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/03 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 14/03 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 08/03 | Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CE L'Hospitalet vs Lleida?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CE L'Hospitalet win (36%). Probabilities: CE L'Hospitalet 36%, draw 29%, Lleida 35%.
How many goals are expected in CE L'Hospitalet vs Lleida?
The model expects 2.68 goals (CE L'Hospitalet 1.35 · Lleida 1.33), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in CE L'Hospitalet vs Lleida?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.