Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 20/09, 18:30
Prediction: UE Vilassar de Mar vs Badalona
Team pages: Badalona
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
UE Vilassar de Mar1.04
Badalona1.26
1X2
UE Vilassar de Mar
Draw
Badalona
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
UE Vilassar de Mar
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Badalona
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
UE Vilassar de Mar
1–2–3
Badalona
(6 last)
- Badalona0-0UE Vilassar de Mar
- UE Vilassar de Mar1-2Badalona
- UE Vilassar de Mar0-2Badalona
- Badalona1-1UE Vilassar de Mar
- UE Vilassar de Mar2-1Badalona
- Badalona3-0UE Vilassar de Mar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UE Vilassar de Mar 1509 · Badalona 1440
| UE Vilassar de Mar | Draw | Badalona | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 31% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 30% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UE Vilassar de Mar (rating 1509 vs 1440).
- H2H favours Badalona: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UE Vilassar de Mar | Badalona | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.2 | 1.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.8 / 0 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · UE Vilassar de Mar 1–2–3 Badalona
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Badalona | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UE Vilassar de Mar |
| 26/10/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Badalona |
| 23/03/25 Spain Tercera Group 5 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Badalona |
| 10/11/24 Spain Tercera Group 5 | Badalona | 1-1 HT 1-1 | UE Vilassar de Mar |
| 26/05/24 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs | UE Vilassar de Mar | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Badalona |
| 19/05/24 Spain Tercera - Play-Offs | Badalona | 3-0 HT 1-0 | UE Vilassar de Mar |
Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Montanesa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | CE L'Hospitalet | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Vilanova Geltru | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | FC Martinenc | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | FE Grama | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | UE Cornella | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | UE San Juan Montcada | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | CFJ Mollerussa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | UE Vilassar de Mar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | FC L'Escala | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | Pobla Mafumet | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | UE Tona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | CP San Cristobal | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 14 | Peralada | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 15 | Cerdanyola del Valles FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 16 | CE Europa B | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 17 | Atletic Lleida | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Badalona | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | UE Vilassar de Mar | Badalona |
|---|---|---|
| FE Grama | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| UE Tona | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Lleida | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| FC L'Escala | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: UE Vilassar de Mar (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UE Vilassar de Mar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Pobla Mafumet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 28/03 | CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 22/03 | CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Badalona
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 29/03 | Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/03 | FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UE Vilassar de Mar vs Badalona?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Badalona win (40%). Probabilities: UE Vilassar de Mar 29%, draw 30%, Badalona 40%.
How many goals are expected in UE Vilassar de Mar vs Badalona?
The model expects 2.3 goals (UE Vilassar de Mar 1.04 · Badalona 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in UE Vilassar de Mar vs Badalona?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.