Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 20/09, 12:00

Prediction: CF Montanesa vs FE Grama

Team pages: CF Montanesa · FE Grama

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

CF Montanesa0.99

FE Grama1.05

1X2

33% 31% 36%

CF Montanesa Draw FE Grama

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 66% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

CF Montanesa 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLLLWW

FE Grama 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWWWWD

Head-to-head

CF Montanesa 2–2–2 FE Grama (6 last)

CF Montanesa1-2FE Grama
FE Grama0-1CF Montanesa
CF Montanesa1-1FE Grama
FE Grama1-1CF Montanesa
FE Grama3-1CF Montanesa
CF Montanesa1-0FE Grama

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CF Montanesa 1500 · FE Grama 1584

	CF Montanesa	Draw	FE Grama
Our model	32%	33%	35%
Market	34%	29%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FE Grama (rating 1500 vs 1584).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CF Montanesa	FE Grama
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.8 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.9 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/25/38%	63/38/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.6	3.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.10

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 22.05

Under 21.75

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.63▲	Pinn 2.77
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.75 → 2.40▼	Pinn 2.56 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:37 +13’	2.30	3.10	2.75
15:15 +3’	2.63▲	3.10	2.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:34 +43’	2.77	2.83	2.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CF Montanesa 2–2–2 FE Grama

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	CF Montanesa	1-2 HT 0-1	FE Grama
23/11/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	FE Grama	0-1 HT 0-1	CF Montanesa
23/02/25 Spain Tercera Group 5	CF Montanesa	1-1 HT 1-1	FE Grama
13/10/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	FE Grama	1-1 HT 0-0	CF Montanesa
07/04/24 Spain Tercera Group 5	FE Grama	3-1 HT 2-0	CF Montanesa
19/11/23 Spain Tercera Group 5	CF Montanesa	1-0 HT 0-0	FE Grama

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CF Montanesa	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	CE L'Hospitalet	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
3	Vilanova Geltru	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	FC Martinenc	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	FE Grama	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	UE Cornella	2	1	1	0	5	3	4
7	UE San Juan Montcada	2	1	0	1	2	4	3
8	CFJ Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
9	UE Vilassar de Mar	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
10	FC L'Escala	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
11	Pobla Mafumet	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
12	UE Tona	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
13	CP San Cristobal	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	Peralada	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
15	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
16	CE Europa B	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
17	Atletic Lleida	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
18	Badalona	2	0	0	2	1	3	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CF Montanesa	FE Grama
Badalona	1-0 W	2-0 W
Peralada	0-5 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FE Grama (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CF Montanesa

WDLLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
06/09	UE San Juan Montcada Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	3-0	4	8	W
10/05	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-5	–	–	L
03/05	UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
25/04	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
19/04	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
12/04	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-2	2-4	6	3	L
02/04	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-2	2	4	L
29/03	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-0	–	–	D
22/03	Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	3-1	2	4	W

FE Grama

WWWWDWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FC Martinenc Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	11	3	D
05/09	FC L'Escala Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
10/05	UE Vilassar de Mar Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
03/05	CFJ Mollerussa Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-1	–	–	W
26/04	CP San Cristobal Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
19/04	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	1	7	D
12/04	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	2-0	3	5	W
02/04	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
29/03	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	2-0	9	2	W
22/03	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CF Montanesa vs FE Grama?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FE Grama win (36%). Probabilities: CF Montanesa 33%, draw 31%, FE Grama 36%.

How many goals are expected in CF Montanesa vs FE Grama?

The model expects 2.04 goals (CF Montanesa 0.99 · FE Grama 1.05), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CF Montanesa vs FE Grama?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.