Football · Spain Tercera Group 5 · 19/09, 20:00

Prediction: UE Cornella vs CE L'Hospitalet

Team pages: UE Cornella · CE L'Hospitalet

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

UE Cornella1.57

CE L'Hospitalet1.16

1X2

45% 28% 27%

UE Cornella Draw CE L'Hospitalet

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

UE Cornella 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWDWDW

CE L'Hospitalet 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWLDDW

Head-to-head

UE Cornella 4–1–1 CE L'Hospitalet (6 last)

CE L'Hospitalet0-0UE Cornella
UE Cornella1-0CE L'Hospitalet
CE L'Hospitalet2-3UE Cornella
UE Cornella1-0CE L'Hospitalet
CE L'Hospitalet3-0UE Cornella
CE L'Hospitalet1-2UE Cornella

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UE Cornella 1553 · CE L'Hospitalet 1527

	UE Cornella	Draw	CE L'Hospitalet
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	45%	28%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours UE Cornella: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UE Cornella	CE L'Hospitalet
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	14/57/29%	56/44/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 5.9	2.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	6.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.20

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 2.00▲	Pinn 2.01
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.30 ★
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.44

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:20 +9’	1.95	3.20	3.40
00:33 +21’	2.00▲	3.20	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:12 +173’	2.03	3.11	3.43
00:33 +21’	1.99▼	3.25▲	3.39▼
18:03 +50’	2.01▲	3.30▲	3.44▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UE Cornella 4–1–1 CE L'Hospitalet

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	CE L'Hospitalet	0-0 HT 0-0	UE Cornella
11/01/26 Spain Tercera Group 5	UE Cornella	1-0 HT 1-0	CE L'Hospitalet
13/02/21 Spain Segunda B Group 3	CE L'Hospitalet	2-3 HT 2-0	UE Cornella
15/11/20 Spain Segunda B Group 3	UE Cornella	1-0 HT 1-0	CE L'Hospitalet
14/08/19 Europe Friendlies	CE L'Hospitalet	3-0 HT 2-0	UE Cornella
08/04/17 Spain Segunda B Group 3	CE L'Hospitalet	1-2 HT 0-1	UE Cornella

Standings · Spain Tercera Group 5

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CF Montanesa	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
2	CE L'Hospitalet	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
3	Vilanova Geltru	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	FC Martinenc	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
4	FE Grama	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
6	UE Cornella	2	1	1	0	5	3	4
7	UE San Juan Montcada	2	1	0	1	2	4	3
8	CFJ Mollerussa	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
9	UE Vilassar de Mar	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
10	FC L'Escala	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
11	Pobla Mafumet	2	1	0	1	2	2	3
12	UE Tona	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
13	CP San Cristobal	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
14	Peralada	2	0	1	1	1	2	1
15	Cerdanyola del Valles FC	2	0	1	1	1	3	1
16	CE Europa B	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
17	Atletic Lleida	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
18	Badalona	2	0	0	2	1	3	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UE Cornella	CE L'Hospitalet
Cerdanyola del Valles FC	3-1 W	4-4 D
Atletic Lleida	2-2 D	2-0 W
Vilanova Geltru	1-0 W	2-2 D
CE Manresa	2-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: UE Cornella (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UE Cornella

LWWDLWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	1-1	3-1	12	4	W
06/09	Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-2	–	–	D
17/05	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
10/05	CE L'Hospitalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
03/05	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	2-1	7	5	W
26/04	CE Europa B Spain Tercera Group 5	0-1	1-2	2	8	L
19/04	FE Grama Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-1	9	7	D
12/04	UE Tona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/04	Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-1	5	5	W
29/03	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	–	0-2	–	–	L

CE L'Hospitalet

DWWWDWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Atletic Lleida Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	2-0	6	5	W
05/09	Vilanova Geltru Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	2-2	9	7	D
10/05	UE Cornella Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
03/05	Badalona Spain Tercera Group 5	–	2-3	–	–	L
25/04	CF Montanesa Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
19/04	Cerdanyola del Valles FC Spain Tercera Group 5	2-1	4-4	0	13	D
12/04	Peralada Spain Tercera Group 5	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
03/04	UE Vic Spain Tercera Group 5	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
29/03	CF Can Vidalet Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
22/03	CE Manresa Spain Tercera Group 5	0-0	0-0	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UE Cornella vs CE L'Hospitalet?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UE Cornella win (45%). Probabilities: UE Cornella 45%, draw 28%, CE L'Hospitalet 27%.

How many goals are expected in UE Cornella vs CE L'Hospitalet?

The model expects 2.73 goals (UE Cornella 1.57 · CE L'Hospitalet 1.16), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in UE Cornella vs CE L'Hospitalet?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.