Football · Algeria Division 2 · 18/09, 17:00

Prediction: MO Bejaia vs MO Constantine

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

MO Bejaia1.41

MO Constantine0.68

1X2

55% 27% 18%

MO Bejaia Draw MO Constantine

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

MO Bejaia 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWWWWD

MO Constantine 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDLDDLLW

Head-to-head

MO Bejaia 1–3–0 MO Constantine (4 last)

MO Bejaia2-0MO Constantine
MO Constantine1-1MO Bejaia
MO Bejaia0-0MO Constantine
MO Constantine1-1MO Bejaia

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MO Bejaia 1592 · MO Constantine 1481

	MO Bejaia	Draw	MO Constantine
Our model	53%	30%	17%
Market	56%	26%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MO Bejaia (rating 1592 vs 1481).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MO Bejaia	MO Constantine
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0	0.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/70/0%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.1	2.2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 1.75

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.61▲	Bet365 1.61
X	3.80 → 3.50▼	Pinn 3.67
2	7.50 → 4.75▼	Pinn 6.82 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:34 +3’	1.40	3.80	7.50
00:23 +2’	1.67▲	3.40▼	4.50▼
06:12 +5’	1.61▼	3.50▲	4.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:18 +59’	1.41	3.67	6.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · MO Bejaia 1–3–0 MO Constantine

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Algeria Division 2	MO Bejaia	2-0 HT 1-0	MO Constantine
21/10/25 Algeria Division 2	MO Constantine	1-1 HT 0-0	MO Bejaia
12/03/22 Algeria Division 2	MO Bejaia	0-0 HT 0-0	MO Constantine
29/11/21 Algeria Division 2	MO Constantine	1-1 HT 0-1	MO Bejaia

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-East

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AS Khroub	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CA Batna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CR Beni Thour	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IRB Nezla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JS Azazga	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JS Djijel	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JSM Skikda	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MO Bejaia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MO Constantine	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MSP Batna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NC Magra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NRB Beni Oulbene	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NRB Teleghma	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Paradou AC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	US Chaouia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM Annaba	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MO Bejaia	MO Constantine
NRB Beni Oulbene	0-0 D	0-0 D
USM Annaba	1-0 W	0-0 D
AS Khroub	1-0 W	2-0 W
JS Bordj Menaiel	1-0 W	0-3 L
US Chaouia	1-0 W	1-3 L
NRB Teleghma	4-0 W	1-0 W
NC Magra	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MO Bejaia (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MO Bejaia

WDWDWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	NRB Beni Oulbene Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	17	5	D
02/05	USM Annaba Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
21/04	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
17/04	JS Bordj Menaiel Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
10/04	US Chaouia Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
04/04	NRB Teleghma Algeria Division 2	0-0	4-0	4	6	W
27/03	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
14/03	NC Magra Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
06/03	JS Djijel Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	8	D
27/02	MO Constantine Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-0	7	0	W

MO Constantine

LWWDLDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	HB Chelghoum Laid Algeria Division 2	3-1	3-1	6	5	W
02/05	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-5	1	1	L
21/04	US Chaouia Algeria Division 2	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
17/04	USM Annaba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	0	7	D
10/04	NRB Beni Oulbene Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	7	7	D
04/04	JS Bordj Menaiel Algeria Division 2	0-3	0-3	0	0	L
27/03	NC Magra Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-1	8	4	D
14/03	NRB Teleghma Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	10	W
06/03	AS Khroub Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-0	7	3	W
27/02	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	2	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MO Bejaia vs MO Constantine?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MO Bejaia win (55%). Probabilities: MO Bejaia 55%, draw 27%, MO Constantine 18%.

How many goals are expected in MO Bejaia vs MO Constantine?

The model expects 2.1 goals (MO Bejaia 1.41 · MO Constantine 0.68), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MO Bejaia vs MO Constantine?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.