Football · Algeria Division 2 · 26/09, 17:00

Prediction: AS Khroub vs USM Annaba

Team pages: USM Annaba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

AS Khroub1.04

USM Annaba0.99

1X2

35% 33% 32%

AS Khroub Draw USM Annaba

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

AS Khroub 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDWDLWWD

USM Annaba 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWDDLLLW

Head-to-head

AS Khroub 1–2–3 USM Annaba (6 last)

AS Khroub0-3USM Annaba
USM Annaba2-1AS Khroub
AS Khroub2-1USM Annaba
USM Annaba3-2AS Khroub
AS Khroub0-0USM Annaba
USM Annaba1-1AS Khroub

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AS Khroub 1498 · USM Annaba 1521

	AS Khroub	Draw	USM Annaba
Our model	35%	33%	32%
Market	35%	32%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours USM Annaba: 3-2-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AS Khroub	USM Annaba
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 0.7	1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/33/44%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 6	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X2.75

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.70 → 2.55▼	Bet365 2.55
X	3.00 → 2.75▼	Bet365 2.75
2	1.95 → 2.75▲	Pinn 2.85 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 13.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:50 +8’	3.70	3.00	1.95
05:45 +14’	2.55▼	2.75▼	2.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:26 +33’	2.45	2.69	2.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Khroub 1–2–3 USM Annaba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Algeria Division 2	AS Khroub	0-3 HT 0-2	USM Annaba
03/10/25 Algeria Division 2	USM Annaba	2-1 HT 0-1	AS Khroub
19/04/25 Algeria Division 2	AS Khroub	2-1 HT 1-1	USM Annaba
06/12/24 Algeria Division 2	USM Annaba	3-2	AS Khroub
28/05/24 Algeria Division 2	AS Khroub	0-0 HT 0-0	USM Annaba
24/01/24 Algeria Division 2	USM Annaba	1-1 HT 1-0	AS Khroub

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	USM Annaba	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
2	JSM Skikda	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
3	CA Batna	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
3	JS Azazga	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
5	MSP Batna	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	NRB Beni Oulbene	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	NRB Teleghma	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
5	US Chaouia	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	AS Khroub	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	MO Bejaia	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	MO Constantine	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	Paradou AC	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
13	CR Beni Thour	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	JS Djijel	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	IRB Nezla	1	0	0	1	0	2	0
16	NC Magra	1	0	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AS Khroub	USM Annaba
CA Batna	1-0 W	0-2 L
MO Bejaia	0-1 L	0-1 L
JS Djijel	1-1 D	0-1 L
HB Chelghoum Laid	3-0 W	1-0 W
IB Khemis El Khechna	1-1 D	2-1 W
US Biskra	0-1 L	3-0 W
CR Beni Thour	2-0 W	0-0 D
MO Constantine	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: AS Khroub (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AS Khroub

LWLDWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Paradou AC Algeria Division 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
09/05	NRB Teleghma Algeria Division 2	0-1	3-1	4	1	W
02/05	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
21/04	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
17/04	JS Djijel Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-1	8	9	D
10/04	HB Chelghoum Laid Algeria Division 2	2-0	3-0	7	0	W
04/04	IB Khemis El Khechna Algeria Division 2	0-1	1-1	19	3	D
27/03	US Biskra Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
14/03	CR Beni Thour Algeria Division 2	2-0	2-0	7	3	W
06/03	MO Constantine Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-2	4	3	L

USM Annaba

LWWWDDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	NC Magra Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	0	3	W
09/05	CA Batna Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-2	0	0	L
02/05	MO Bejaia Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	1	L
21/04	JS Djijel Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
17/04	MO Constantine Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
10/04	CR Beni Thour Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
04/04	US Biskra Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
28/03	IB Khemis El Khechna Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
14/03	HB Chelghoum Laid Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	6	6	W
06/03	MSP Batna Algeria Division 2	1-2	1-3	8	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AS Khroub vs USM Annaba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AS Khroub win (35%). Probabilities: AS Khroub 35%, draw 33%, USM Annaba 32%.

How many goals are expected in AS Khroub vs USM Annaba?

The model expects 2.04 goals (AS Khroub 1.04 · USM Annaba 0.99), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in AS Khroub vs USM Annaba?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.