Football · Algeria Division 2 · 26/09, 17:00

Prediction: ASM Oran vs WA Mostaganem

Team pages: WA Mostaganem

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

ASM Oran1.55

WA Mostaganem0.75

1X2

56% 28% 17%

ASM Oran Draw WA Mostaganem

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

ASM Oran 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLLWL

WA Mostaganem 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLWLWLLD

Head-to-head

ASM Oran 0–3–3 WA Mostaganem (6 last)

WA Mostaganem1-0ASM Oran
ASM Oran0-0WA Mostaganem
WA Mostaganem1-0ASM Oran
ASM Oran0-0WA Mostaganem
WA Mostaganem4-0ASM Oran
ASM Oran1-1WA Mostaganem

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASM Oran 1539 · WA Mostaganem 1452

	ASM Oran	Draw	WA Mostaganem
Our model	55%	28%	17%
Market	56%	27%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASM Oran (rating 1539 vs 1452).
H2H favours WA Mostaganem: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASM Oran	WA Mostaganem
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.7	1.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/56/11%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5	1.6 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	3.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.30

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.75

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:27

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:19 +7’	1.61	3.30	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASM Oran 0–3–3 WA Mostaganem

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Algeria Division 2	WA Mostaganem	1-0 HT 1-0	ASM Oran
21/12/25 Algeria Division 2	ASM Oran	0-0 HT 0-0	WA Mostaganem
27/04/25 Algeria Division 2	WA Mostaganem	1-0 HT 0-0	ASM Oran
13/12/24 Algeria Division 2	ASM Oran	0-0 HT 0-0	WA Mostaganem
15/03/24 Algeria Division 2	WA Mostaganem	4-0 HT 2-0	ASM Oran
11/11/23 Algeria Division 2	ASM Oran	1-1 HT 0-1	WA Mostaganem

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	GC Mascara	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
1	RC Kouba	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
3	USM Blida	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
3	WA Tlemcen	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
5	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	NA Hussein Dey	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	USM El Harrach	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
8	MC Saida	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
8	WA Mostaganem	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
10	ES Mostaganem	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
10	JSM Tiaret	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
12	ASM Oran	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
12	JRB Taghit	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
12	MC El Bayadh	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
15	ESM Kolea	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
15	RC Arba	1	0	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASM Oran	WA Mostaganem
USM El Harrach	0-1 L	0-3 L
MC Saida	1-0 W	2-2 D
GC Mascara	3-2 W	0-3 L
JS Tixeraine	1-0 W	0-2 L
JSM Tiaret	1-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: ASM Oran (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASM Oran

WWWWWWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
08/05	CRB Adrar Algeria Division 2	3-0	4-1	3	1	W
01/05	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
25/04	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-1	14	4	L
18/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/04	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-1	0	1	W
03/04	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-2	2	9	W
27/03	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
14/03	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
07/03	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W

WA Mostaganem

LDLLWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	1-2	2-2	4	7	D
08/05	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	4	1	L
01/05	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-2	3	2	L
25/04	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
18/04	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
09/04	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
04/04	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
28/03	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
14/03	RC Arba Algeria Division 2	0-0	2-2	5	6	D
06/03	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	1-2	1-2	9	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASM Oran vs WA Mostaganem?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASM Oran win (56%). Probabilities: ASM Oran 56%, draw 28%, WA Mostaganem 17%.

How many goals are expected in ASM Oran vs WA Mostaganem?

The model expects 2.3 goals (ASM Oran 1.55 · WA Mostaganem 0.75), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASM Oran vs WA Mostaganem?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.