Football · Algeria Division 2 · 26/09, 17:00

Prediction: NC Magra vs US Chaouia

Team pages: NC Magra · US Chaouia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
NC Magra1.2
US Chaouia1.28
1X2
33% 31% 37%
NC Magra Draw US Chaouia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
NC Magra 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
WLDWLWLLLL
US Chaouia 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWLWWWDWLD
Head-to-head
NC Magra 0–2 US Chaouia (2 last)
  • US Chaouia2-1NC Magra
  • NC Magra0-1US Chaouia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · NC Magra 1434 · US Chaouia 1596
NC MagraDrawUS Chaouia
Our model33%30%37%
Market32%31%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours US Chaouia (rating 1434 vs 1596).
  • H2H favours US Chaouia: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NC MagraUS Chaouia
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 1.72.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.61 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 3.72.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 03 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · NC Magra 0–0–2 US Chaouia

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/02/26
Algeria Division 2
US Chaouia2-1
HT 0-0
NC Magra
26/09/25
Algeria Division 2
NC Magra0-1
HT 0-0
US Chaouia

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-East

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 USM Annaba 1100 303
2 JSM Skikda 1100 203
3 CA Batna 1010 221
3 JS Azazga 1010 221
5 MSP Batna 1010 111
5 NRB Beni Oulbene 1010 111
5 NRB Teleghma 1010 111
5 US Chaouia 1010 111
9 AS Khroub 1010 001
9 MO Bejaia 1010 001
9 MO Constantine 1010 001
9 Paradou AC 1010 001
13 CR Beni Thour 0000 000
13 JS Djijel 0000 000
15 IRB Nezla 1001 020
16 NC Magra 1001 030

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNC MagraUS Chaouia
NRB Beni Oulbene 0-4 L 1-1 D
IB Khemis El Khechna 1-2 L 3-0 W
US Biskra 0-2 L 1-1 D
MO Constantine 1-1 D 3-1 W
MO Bejaia 0-2 L 0-1 L
CR Beni Thour 1-0 W 4-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 4 L 3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: US Chaouia (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

NC Magra

WLDWLWLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 USM Annaba
Algeria Division 2
0-1 0-3 23 L
09/05 JS Bordj Menaiel
Algeria Division 2
0-1 0-2 45 L
02/05 NRB Beni Oulbene
Algeria Division 2
0-1 0-4 70 L
21/04 IB Khemis El Khechna
Algeria Division 2
1-1 1-2 71 L
17/04 NRB Teleghma
Algeria Division 2
0-0 1-0 32 W
10/04 US Biskra
Algeria Division 2
0-0 0-2 21 L
04/04 CA Batna
Algeria Division 2
0-0 2-1 37 W
27/03 MO Constantine
Algeria Division 2
0-1 1-1 14 D
14/03 MO Bejaia
Algeria Division 2
0-1 0-2 83 L
06/03 CR Beni Thour
Algeria Division 2
1-0 1-0 04 W

US Chaouia

WWLWWWDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/09 NRB Beni Oulbene
Algeria Division 2
0-1 1-1 66 D
20/05 CR Temouchent
Algeria Division 2
0-0 0-1 24 L
16/05 USM El Harrach
Algeria Division 2
0-0 2-1 34 W
09/05 US Biskra
Algeria Division 2
0-1 1-1 21 D
02/05 JS Djijel
Algeria Division 2
1-1 3-1 103 W
21/04 MO Constantine
Algeria Division 2
2-0 3-1 –– W
17/04 IB Khemis El Khechna
Algeria Division 2
1-0 3-0 71 W
10/04 MO Bejaia
Algeria Division 2
0-0 0-1 36 L
04/04 CR Beni Thour
Algeria Division 2
2-0 4-0 73 W
27/03 HB Chelghoum Laid
Algeria Division 2
4-0 8-0 101 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in NC Magra vs US Chaouia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an US Chaouia win (37%). Probabilities: NC Magra 33%, draw 31%, US Chaouia 37%.

How many goals are expected in NC Magra vs US Chaouia?

The model expects 2.48 goals (NC Magra 1.2 · US Chaouia 1.28), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in NC Magra vs US Chaouia?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.