Football · Algeria Division 2 · 26/09, 17:00

Prediction: JSM Tiaret vs USM El Harrach

Team pages: JSM Tiaret

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.98Total
JSM Tiaret0.77
USM El Harrach1.21
1X2
23% 32% 46%
JSM Tiaret Draw USM El Harrach
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
JSM Tiaret 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LWLDLDWLLL
USM El Harrach 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLLWWDWLW
Head-to-head
JSM Tiaret 1–1–2 USM El Harrach (4 last)
  • USM El Harrach1-0JSM Tiaret
  • JSM Tiaret0-2USM El Harrach
  • JSM Tiaret1-0USM El Harrach
  • USM El Harrach0-0JSM Tiaret
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JSM Tiaret 1444 · USM El Harrach 1541
JSM TiaretDrawUSM El Harrach
Our model22%33%45%
Market23%31%46%
Estimated total (ours) 1.98 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours USM El Harrach (rating 1444 vs 1541).
  • H2H favours USM El Harrach: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JSM TiaretUSM El Harrach
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.41.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.50.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/70/20%22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.92.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.2 / 0.23 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · JSM Tiaret 1–1–2 USM El Harrach

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Algeria Division 2
USM El Harrach1-0
HT 1-0
JSM Tiaret
07/11/25
Algeria Division 2
JSM Tiaret0-2
HT 0-1
USM El Harrach
12/03/22
Algeria Division 2
JSM Tiaret1-0USM El Harrach
29/11/21
Algeria Division 2
USM El Harrach0-0
HT 0-0
JSM Tiaret

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 GC Mascara 1100 303
1 RC Kouba 1100 303
3 USM Blida 1100 213
3 WA Tlemcen 1100 213
5 IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali 1100 103
5 NA Hussein Dey 1100 103
5 USM El Harrach 1100 103
8 MC Saida 1010 221
8 WA Mostaganem 1010 221
10 ES Mostaganem 1001 120
10 JSM Tiaret 1001 120
12 ASM Oran 1001 010
12 JRB Taghit 1001 010
12 MC El Bayadh 1001 010
15 ESM Kolea 1001 030
15 RC Arba 1001 030

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJSM TiaretUSM El Harrach
WA Tlemcen 1-2 L 0-0 D
WA Mostaganem 0-3 L 3-0 W
GC Mascara 2-1 W 1-1 D
ASM Oran 0-1 L 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: USM El Harrach (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JSM Tiaret

LWLDLDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 WA Tlemcen
Algeria Division 2
0-0 1-2 64 L
08/05 US Bechar Djedid
Algeria Division 2
1-1 1-3 72 L
01/05 CR Temouchent
Algeria Division 2
0-0 0-1 34 L
25/04 CRB Adrar
Algeria Division 2
1-0 4-1 44 W
18/04 RC Kouba
Algeria Division 2
1-1 1-1 12 D
09/04 WA Mostaganem
Algeria Division 2
0-1 0-3 61 L
04/04 MC Saida
Algeria Division 2
0-0 0-0 15 D
28/03 USM El Harrach
Algeria Division 2
0-1 0-1 55 L
14/03 GC Mascara
Algeria Division 2
1-1 2-1 53 W
07/03 ASM Oran
Algeria Division 2
0-0 0-1 14 L

USM El Harrach

DWLLWWDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/09 ASM Oran
Algeria Division 2
– 1-0 –– W
16/05 US Chaouia
Algeria Division 2
0-0 1-2 74 L
08/05 WA Mostaganem
Algeria Division 2
1-0 3-0 51 W
01/05 GC Mascara
Algeria Division 2
0-1 1-1 35 D
25/04 ESM Kolea
Algeria Division 2
1-1 2-1 10 W
18/04 JS Tixeraine
Algeria Division 2
0-0 2-0 42 W
10/04 ASM Oran
Algeria Division 2
0-0 1-2 31 L
04/04 RC Arba
Algeria Division 2
0-1 0-2 64 L
28/03 JSM Tiaret
Algeria Division 2
1-0 1-0 65 W
14/03 WA Tlemcen
Algeria Division 2
0-0 0-0 38 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JSM Tiaret vs USM El Harrach?

According to our model, the most likely result is an USM El Harrach win (46%). Probabilities: JSM Tiaret 23%, draw 32%, USM El Harrach 46%.

How many goals are expected in JSM Tiaret vs USM El Harrach?

The model expects 1.98 goals (JSM Tiaret 0.77 · USM El Harrach 1.21), with a 53% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JSM Tiaret vs USM El Harrach?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.