Football · Algeria Division 2 · 19/09, 17:00

Prediction: ESM Kolea vs RC Kouba

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.95Total

ESM Kolea0.99

RC Kouba0.96

1X2

35% 32% 33%

ESM Kolea Draw RC Kouba

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

ESM Kolea 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DWDLLLLLLL

RC Kouba 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWDWWW

Head-to-head

ESM Kolea 0–2–4 RC Kouba (6 last)

RC Kouba2-1ESM Kolea
ESM Kolea0-0RC Kouba
RC Kouba1-1ESM Kolea
ESM Kolea0-3RC Kouba
RC Kouba2-0ESM Kolea
ESM Kolea0-1RC Kouba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ESM Kolea 1420 · RC Kouba 1579

	ESM Kolea	Draw	RC Kouba
Our model	34%	34%	32%
Market	36%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RC Kouba (rating 1420 vs 1579).
H2H favours RC Kouba: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ESM Kolea	RC Kouba
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.7	1.4 / 0.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/80/0%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 3	1.5 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.00

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 21.85

Under 21.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:54 +4’	2.50	3.00	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ESM Kolea 0–2–4 RC Kouba

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/03/26 Algeria Division 2	RC Kouba	2-1 HT 0-1	ESM Kolea
07/11/25 Algeria Division 2	ESM Kolea	0-0 HT 0-0	RC Kouba
27/04/25 Algeria Division 2	RC Kouba	1-1 HT 1-1	ESM Kolea
13/12/24 Algeria Division 2	ESM Kolea	0-3 HT 0-1	RC Kouba
14/04/24 Algeria Division 2	RC Kouba	2-0 HT 2-0	ESM Kolea
01/12/23 Algeria Division 2	ESM Kolea	0-1 HT 0-0	RC Kouba

Standings · Algeria Division 2 · Ligue 2 26/27, Center-West

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ASM Oran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ES Mostaganem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ESM Kolea	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	GC Mascara	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	IRB Sidi M'hamed Benali	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JRB Taghit	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	JSM Tiaret	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MC El Bayadh	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	MC Saida	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	NA Hussein Dey	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RC Arba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	RC Kouba	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM Blida	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	USM El Harrach	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WA Mostaganem	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WA Tlemcen	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ESM Kolea	RC Kouba
NA Hussein Dey	1-3 L	1-0 W
WA Tlemcen	0-2 L	4-1 W
JS El Biar	0-1 L	0-0 D
CR Temouchent	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RC Kouba (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ESM Kolea

DWDLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/05	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-3	3	4	L
01/05	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
25/04	USM El Harrach Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-2	0	0	L
18/04	JS El Biar Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
10/04	MC Saida Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-2	2	1	L
01/04	US Bechar Djedid Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-3	10	2	L
27/03	RC Kouba Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-2	0	7	L
14/03	CR Temouchent Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
06/03	WA Mostaganem Algeria Division 2	2-1	2-1	2	5	W
28/02	CRB Adrar Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	4	4	D

RC Kouba

LWDWWWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/05	GC Mascara Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
01/05	ASM Oran Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
25/04	JS Tixeraine Algeria Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
18/04	JSM Tiaret Algeria Division 2	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
10/04	WA Tlemcen Algeria Division 2	2-0	4-1	3	0	W
04/04	NA Hussein Dey Algeria Division 2	1-0	1-0	7	1	W
27/03	ESM Kolea Algeria Division 2	0-1	2-1	8	7	W
14/03	JS El Biar Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-0	0	4	D
07/03	RC Arba Algeria Division 2	0-0	1-0	9	7	W
28/02	CR Temouchent Algeria Division 2	0-0	0-1	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ESM Kolea vs RC Kouba?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ESM Kolea win (35%). Probabilities: ESM Kolea 35%, draw 32%, RC Kouba 33%.

How many goals are expected in ESM Kolea vs RC Kouba?

The model expects 1.95 goals (ESM Kolea 0.99 · RC Kouba 0.96), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in ESM Kolea vs RC Kouba?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.