Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 13/09, 10:30

Prediction: SC Znojmo vs Zdar nad Sazavou

Team pages: SC Znojmo · Zdar nad Sazavou

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.12Total

SC Znojmo2.56

Zdar nad Sazavou1.55

1X2

59% 20% 21%

SC Znojmo Draw Zdar nad Sazavou

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Znojmo 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDWDWW

Zdar nad Sazavou 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWDWDL

Head-to-head

SC Znojmo 2–2 Zdar nad Sazavou (4 last)

SC Znojmo10-1Zdar nad Sazavou
Zdar nad Sazavou1-0SC Znojmo
Zdar nad Sazavou0-3SC Znojmo
Zdar nad Sazavou4-3SC Znojmo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Znojmo 1545 · Zdar nad Sazavou 1441

	SC Znojmo	Draw	Zdar nad Sazavou
Our model	59%	20%	22%
Market	59%	20%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 4.12 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Znojmo (rating 1545 vs 1441).
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Znojmo	Zdar nad Sazavou
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1.1	1.3 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.3	0.8 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	3.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.50

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
07:50 +12’	1.53	4.50	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Znojmo 2–0–2 Zdar nad Sazavou

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	SC Znojmo	10-1 HT 4-0	Zdar nad Sazavou
02/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	1-0 HT 0-0	SC Znojmo
16/08/23 Czechia Cup	Zdar nad Sazavou	0-3	SC Znojmo
25/06/21 Europe Friendlies	Zdar nad Sazavou	4-3 HT 1-3	SC Znojmo

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	5	5	0	0	19	5	15
2	Kravare	5	5	0	0	16	4	15
3	FC Vratimov	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
4	Hlucin	5	4	0	1	9	4	12
5	Opava B	5	3	1	1	11	8	10
6	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
7	Jiskra Rymarov	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
8	FK Sumperk	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
9	SK Stonava	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
10	SK Zabreh	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
11	Pusta Polom	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	5	1	2	2	8	10	5
13	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	5	0	0	5	5	15	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	5	0	0	5	4	18	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Znojmo	Zdar nad Sazavou
FS Trebic	6-1 W	5-0 W
Sparta Brno	3-0 W	1-1 D
Dosta Bystrc	1-1 D	3-2 W
FC Kurim	2-1 W	0-2 L
FC Chotebor	3-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SC Znojmo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Znojmo

LWWWLDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	6-1	5	2	W
29/08	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
22/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	10	5	D
15/08	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
13/06	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/06	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	10-1	3	1	W
31/05	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
24/05	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	3-1	4	4	W
16/05	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	3	6	L

Zdar nad Sazavou

LLLLLWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
30/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	5-0	–	–	W
16/08	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
08/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-2	8	6	W
13/06	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
05/06	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	1-10	0	1	L
31/05	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
24/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	0	1	L
16/05	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-3	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Znojmo vs Zdar nad Sazavou?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Znojmo win (59%). Probabilities: SC Znojmo 59%, draw 20%, Zdar nad Sazavou 21%.

How many goals are expected in SC Znojmo vs Zdar nad Sazavou?

The model expects 4.12 goals (SC Znojmo 2.56 · Zdar nad Sazavou 1.55), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Znojmo vs Zdar nad Sazavou?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.