Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 20/09, 15:30

Prediction: FK Sumperk vs FK Bohumin

Team pages: FK Sumperk · FK Bohumin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.12Total

FK Sumperk1.67

FK Bohumin2.45

1X2

25% 20% 54%

FK Sumperk Draw FK Bohumin

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Sumperk 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLWDLWLL

FK Bohumin 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

FK Sumperk 0–2–3 FK Bohumin (5 last)

FK Sumperk3-6FK Bohumin
FK Bohumin2-2FK Sumperk
FK Bohumin1-1FK Sumperk
FK Sumperk1-2FK Bohumin
FK Bohumin2-1FK Sumperk

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Bohumin (rating 1440 vs 1612).
H2H favours FK Bohumin: 3-2-0.
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Sumperk	FK Bohumin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.1	4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	1.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6	3.2 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	3.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.94

Under 3.51.75

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:58

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.22 → 4.22	Pinn 4.22
X	4.06 → 4.06	Pinn 4.06
2	1.55 → 1.55	Pinn 1.55

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:42 +76’	4.22	4.06	1.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Sumperk 0–2–3 FK Bohumin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Sumperk	3-6 HT 2-3	FK Bohumin
02/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Bohumin	2-2 HT 0-1	FK Sumperk
09/06/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Bohumin	1-1 HT 0-0	FK Sumperk
05/11/23 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Sumperk	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Bohumin
28/10/18 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Bohumin	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Sumperk

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	6	6	0	0	24	6	18
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	6	5	0	1	17	9	15
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	Jiskra Rymarov	7	4	1	2	18	10	13
6	Opava B	7	4	1	2	16	12	13
7	TJ Novy Jicin	7	4	1	2	15	13	13
8	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
9	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
10	FK Sumperk	6	2	1	3	9	9	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	SSK Bilovec	7	1	1	5	4	15	4
14	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Sumperk

LDLLWDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	4	9	L
05/09	Opava B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	Frydlant Nad Ostravici Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	5-1	9	3	W
23/08	SK Stonava Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
15/08	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	5	1	D
09/08	Frydek Mistek B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
13/06	FC Vratimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
07/06	FK Bohumin Czechia 4. Liga	2-3	3-6	–	–	L
31/05	SK Zabreh Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
24/05	Jiskra Rymarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L

FK Bohumin

LWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Kravare Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	5-1	12	5	W
05/09	TJ Novy Jicin Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-2	5	3	W
30/08	Pusta Polom Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	10	4	W
23/08	SSK Bilovec Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-0	6	2	W
16/08	Bridlicna Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-2	6	7	W
07/08	Hlucin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	4	W
12/06	TJ Valasske Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-3	6	4	W
07/06	FK Sumperk Czechia 4. Liga	3-2	6-3	–	–	W
31/05	MFK Havirov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	FK Petrvald na Morave Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Sumperk vs FK Bohumin?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Bohumin win (54%). Probabilities: FK Sumperk 25%, draw 20%, FK Bohumin 54%.

How many goals are expected in FK Sumperk vs FK Bohumin?

The model expects 4.12 goals (FK Sumperk 1.67 · FK Bohumin 2.45), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Sumperk vs FK Bohumin?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.