Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 20/09, 15:30

Prediction: FC Spartak Velka Bites vs Velke Mezirici

Team pages: FC Spartak Velka Bites · Velke Mezirici

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

FC Spartak Velka Bites2.17

Velke Mezirici1.38

1X2

54% 23% 23%

FC Spartak Velka Bites Draw Velke Mezirici

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Spartak Velka Bites 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Velke Mezirici 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Spartak Velka Bites 5–1–0 Velke Mezirici (6 last)

Velke Mezirici2-5FC Spartak Velka Bites
FC Spartak Velka Bites3-3Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici0-3FC Spartak Velka Bites
FC Spartak Velka Bites2-0Velke Mezirici
FC Spartak Velka Bites4-1Velke Mezirici
Velke Mezirici1-2FC Spartak Velka Bites

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Spartak Velka Bites 1538 · Velke Mezirici 1477

	FC Spartak Velka Bites	Draw	Velke Mezirici
Our model	55%	22%	23%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Spartak Velka Bites (rating 1538 vs 1477).
H2H favours FC Spartak Velka Bites: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Spartak Velka Bites	Velke Mezirici
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5	2.5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.3	3.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.67▲	Bet365 1.67
X	4.00 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80
2	4.50 → 4.00▼	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:22 +3’	1.57	4.00	4.50
15:54 +5’	1.67▲	3.80▼	4.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Spartak Velka Bites 5–1–0 Velke Mezirici

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	2-5 HT 2-1	FC Spartak Velka Bites
06/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Spartak Velka Bites	3-3 HT 0-2	Velke Mezirici
30/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	0-3 HT 0-2	FC Spartak Velka Bites
26/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Spartak Velka Bites	2-0 HT 0-0	Velke Mezirici
05/05/24 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Spartak Velka Bites	4-1 HT 2-1	Velke Mezirici
01/10/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Velke Mezirici	1-2 HT 0-1	FC Spartak Velka Bites

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	6	6	0	0	24	6	18
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	6	5	0	1	17	9	15
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
6	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
7	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
8	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
9	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
10	FK Sumperk	6	2	1	3	9	9	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	SSK Bilovec	6	1	1	4	4	12	4
14	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Spartak Velka Bites	Velke Mezirici
FK Pelhrimov	2-0 W	0-5 L
SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou	1-0 W	3-2 W
FS Trebic	1-0 W	1-3 L
TJ Tatran Bohunice	0-4 L	3-3 D
AFC Humpolec	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Spartak Velka Bites

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
30/08	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/08	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
15/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	8	1	L
13/06	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
07/06	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
31/05	Zdar nad Sazavou Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	2	4	W
23/05	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	10	3	W

Velke Mezirici

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FK Pelhrimov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-5	–	–	L
06/09	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	10	5	W
28/08	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	3-3	2	5	D
21/08	Sokol Tasovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
16/08	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
07/08	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	12	2	D
13/06	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	7	1	L
05/06	TJ Tatran Bohunice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
30/05	AFC Humpolec Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
24/05	SK Zdirec Nad Doubravou Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-1	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Spartak Velka Bites vs Velke Mezirici?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Spartak Velka Bites win (54%). Probabilities: FC Spartak Velka Bites 54%, draw 23%, Velke Mezirici 23%.

How many goals are expected in FC Spartak Velka Bites vs Velke Mezirici?

The model expects 3.54 goals (FC Spartak Velka Bites 2.17 · Velke Mezirici 1.38), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Spartak Velka Bites vs Velke Mezirici?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.