Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 20/09, 15:30

Prediction: Zdar nad Sazavou vs AFC Humpolec

Team pages: Zdar nad Sazavou · AFC Humpolec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.18Total

Zdar nad Sazavou1.88

AFC Humpolec1.3

1X2

51% 23% 26%

Zdar nad Sazavou Draw AFC Humpolec

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Zdar nad Sazavou 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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AFC Humpolec 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Zdar nad Sazavou 2–2–2 AFC Humpolec (6 last)

Zdar nad Sazavou1-0AFC Humpolec
AFC Humpolec3-2Zdar nad Sazavou
AFC Humpolec1-1Zdar nad Sazavou
Zdar nad Sazavou0-0AFC Humpolec
AFC Humpolec3-1Zdar nad Sazavou
Zdar nad Sazavou3-0AFC Humpolec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zdar nad Sazavou 1445 · AFC Humpolec 1418

	Zdar nad Sazavou	Draw	AFC Humpolec
Our model	50%	25%	25%
Market	51%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Zdar nad Sazavou	AFC Humpolec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.9	0.9 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.1	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 3.4	1.8 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.00

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
19:10 +14’	1.75	4.00	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Zdar nad Sazavou 2–2–2 AFC Humpolec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	1-0 HT 0-0	AFC Humpolec
30/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	AFC Humpolec	3-2 HT 1-0	Zdar nad Sazavou
24/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	AFC Humpolec	1-1 HT 0-0	Zdar nad Sazavou
20/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	0-0 HT 0-0	AFC Humpolec
09/06/24 Czechia 4. Liga	AFC Humpolec	3-1 HT 1-0	Zdar nad Sazavou
05/11/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Zdar nad Sazavou	3-0 HT 1-0	AFC Humpolec

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	6	6	0	0	24	6	18
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	6	5	0	1	17	9	15
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
6	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
7	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
8	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
9	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
10	FK Sumperk	6	2	1	3	9	9	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	SSK Bilovec	6	1	1	4	4	12	4
14	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Zdar nad Sazavou	AFC Humpolec
FC Spartak Velka Bites	2-2 D	3-2 W
FS Trebic	5-0 W	1-2 L
Sparta Brno	1-1 D	0-1 L
Dosta Bystrc	3-2 W	0-2 L
FC Kurim	0-2 L	0-1 L
SK Artis Brno B	0-5 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zdar nad Sazavou

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	5	1	L
06/09	FC Chotebor Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
30/08	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
22/08	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	5-0	–	–	W
16/08	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	4	0	D
08/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-2	8	6	W
13/06	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
05/06	SC Znojmo Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	1-10	0	1	L
31/05	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	2	4	L
24/05	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	0	1	L

AFC Humpolec

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	FS Trebic Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	Sparta Brno Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
30/08	Dosta Bystrc Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	FC Kurim Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
16/08	TJ Sokol Bedrichov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-2	8	3	D
07/08	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	5	2	D
13/06	FC Spartak Velka Bites Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
05/06	SK Artis Brno B Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	1-5	2	4	L
30/05	Velke Mezirici Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	Havlickuv Brod Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-2	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zdar nad Sazavou vs AFC Humpolec?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Zdar nad Sazavou win (51%). Probabilities: Zdar nad Sazavou 51%, draw 23%, AFC Humpolec 26%.

How many goals are expected in Zdar nad Sazavou vs AFC Humpolec?

The model expects 3.18 goals (Zdar nad Sazavou 1.88 · AFC Humpolec 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Zdar nad Sazavou vs AFC Humpolec?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.