Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 20/09, 15:30

Prediction: FK Kozlovice vs FC Brumov

Team pages: FK Kozlovice · FC Brumov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.07Total

FK Kozlovice2.9

FC Brumov1.17

1X2

72% 16% 12%

FK Kozlovice Draw FC Brumov

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Kozlovice 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWDWWWW

FC Brumov 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDDLLWLDLL

Head-to-head

FK Kozlovice 1–1 FC Brumov (2 last)

FK Kozlovice5-1FC Brumov
FC Brumov2-1FK Kozlovice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Kozlovice 1577 · FC Brumov 1446

	FK Kozlovice	Draw	FC Brumov
Our model	72%	16%	12%
Market	72%	16%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 4.07 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Kozlovice (rating 1577 vs 1446).
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Kozlovice	FC Brumov
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.8	1.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.4	0.4 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 4.9	2.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.25

X5.75

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.82

2 (+1.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.25▼	Bet365 1.25
X	5.00 → 5.75▲	Bet365 5.75
2	6.00 → 7.50▲	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:48 +4’	1.33	5.00	6.00
15:54 +4’	1.25▼	5.75▲	7.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kozlovice 1–0–1 FC Brumov

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Kozlovice	5-1 HT 1-1	FC Brumov
28/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Brumov	2-1 HT 2-1	FK Kozlovice

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	6	6	0	0	24	6	18
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	6	5	0	1	17	9	15
4	FC Vratimov	7	5	0	2	14	9	15
5	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
6	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
7	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
8	SK Zabreh	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
9	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
10	FK Sumperk	6	2	1	3	9	9	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	SSK Bilovec	6	1	1	4	4	12	4
14	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Kozlovice	FC Brumov
SK Batov	3-2 W	1-0 W
SK Prostejov B	4-1 W	1-4 L
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B	1-0 W	3-0 W
Breclav	1-0 W	2-5 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Kozlovice (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Kozlovice

WWWWWDWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-2	3	7	W
06/09	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	4-1	11	5	W
30/08	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
23/08	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
14/08	FC Strani Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	1	7	D
09/08	Bzenec Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-1	4	2	W
10/06	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
07/06	TJ Skastice Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-1	6	4	W
03/06	Sternberk Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	5	5	W
31/05	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W

FC Brumov

WDDLLWLDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Hluk Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
06/09	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	1-4	2-5	3	2	L
30/08	SFK Holesov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	3-3	6	2	D
22/08	SK Krumvir Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	3-5	5	5	L
15/08	SK Batov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	12	5	W
09/08	SK Prostejov B Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-4	5	4	L
13/06	TJ Sokol Lanzhot Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
05/06	Tatran Vsechovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
23/05	Breclav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
17/05	Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Kozlovice vs FC Brumov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Kozlovice win (72%). Probabilities: FK Kozlovice 72%, draw 16%, FC Brumov 12%.

How many goals are expected in FK Kozlovice vs FC Brumov?

The model expects 4.07 goals (FK Kozlovice 2.9 · FC Brumov 1.17), with a 55% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Kozlovice vs FC Brumov?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.