Football · Nigeria Premier League · 20/09, 17:00

Prediction: Plateau United vs Shooting Stars

Team pages: Plateau United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

Plateau United1.56

Shooting Stars0.72

1X2

56% 27% 16%

Plateau United Draw Shooting Stars

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Plateau United 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDLLWLWD

Shooting Stars 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWWWLW

Head-to-head

Plateau United 1–3–2 Shooting Stars (6 last)

Plateau United4-1Shooting Stars
Shooting Stars1-0Plateau United
Plateau United1-1Shooting Stars
Shooting Stars1-1Plateau United
Plateau United0-0Shooting Stars
Shooting Stars2-1Plateau United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Plateau United 1510 · Shooting Stars 1534

	Plateau United	Draw	Shooting Stars
Our model	56%	28%	16%
Market	57%	27%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shooting Stars: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Plateau United	Shooting Stars
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/50/25%	33/50/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 3.5	4.5 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X3.25

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.02

2 (+1)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.82

Under 21.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
16:16 +7’	1.57	3.25	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Plateau United 1–3–2 Shooting Stars

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Nigeria Premier League	Plateau United	4-1 HT 2-1	Shooting Stars
05/10/25 Nigeria Premier League	Shooting Stars	1-0 HT 0-0	Plateau United
02/02/25 Nigeria Premier League	Plateau United	1-1 HT 0-0	Shooting Stars
15/09/24 Nigeria Premier League	Shooting Stars	1-1 HT 1-1	Plateau United
25/02/24 Nigeria Premier League	Plateau United	0-0 HT 0-0	Shooting Stars
30/09/23 Nigeria Premier League	Shooting Stars	2-1 HT 1-0	Plateau United

Standings · Nigeria Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Doma United	3	3	0	0	5	0	9
2	Barau FC	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
3	Rivers United	2	2	0	0	4	0	6
4	Bendel Insurance	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
5	Ikorodu City FC	2	1	1	0	5	3	4
5	Kwara United	3	1	1	1	5	3	4
7	Kano Pillars	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
8	Enugu Rangers	2	1	1	0	3	2	4
9	Niger Tornadoes	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
10	Plateau United	3	1	1	1	2	3	4
11	Sporting Lagos	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
12	Shooting Stars	1	1	0	0	2	1	3
13	Ranchers Bees	3	1	0	2	6	6	3
14	Nasarawa United	3	1	0	2	3	5	3
15	Kun Khalifat FC	3	0	2	1	2	4	2
16	Abia Warriors	3	0	2	1	2	6	2
17	Katsina Utd	2	0	1	1	1	4	1
18	Enyimba	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
18	Warri Wolves FC	2	0	0	2	1	4	0
20	Inter Lagos	3	0	0	3	1	6	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Plateau United	Shooting Stars
Niger Tornadoes	1-1 D	0-1 L
Kwara United	1-0 W	0-0 D
Nasarawa United	0-1 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Plateau United (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Plateau United

DWLDLLWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
06/09	Kwara United Nigeria Premier League	1-0	1-0	10	2	W
30/08	Rivers United Nigeria Premier League	0-2	0-2	0	2	L
24/05	Kano Pillars Nigeria Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/05	Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
03/05	Warri Wolves FC Nigeria Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L
19/04	Kun Khalifat FC Nigeria Premier League	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
12/04	Rivers United Nigeria Premier League	0-1	0-1	2	3	L
06/04	Ikorodu City FC Nigeria Premier League	0-0	4-1	3	2	W
28/03	Bendel Insurance Nigeria Premier League	1-1	2-2	4	3	D

Shooting Stars

WLWLDWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Inter Lagos Nigeria Premier League	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
24/05	Niger Tornadoes Nigeria Premier League	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
10/05	Barau FC Nigeria Premier League	–	1-0	–	–	W
03/05	Nasarawa United Nigeria Premier League	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
19/04	El Kanemi Warriors Nigeria Premier League	–	2-1	–	–	W
12/04	Kwara United Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
05/04	Remo Stars Nigeria Premier League	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
29/03	Enugu Rangers Nigeria Premier League	0-0	3-1	11	4	W
22/03	Katsina Utd Nigeria Premier League	–	0-1	–	–	L
15/03	Wikki Tourists Nigeria Premier League	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Plateau United vs Shooting Stars?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Plateau United win (56%). Probabilities: Plateau United 56%, draw 27%, Shooting Stars 16%.

How many goals are expected in Plateau United vs Shooting Stars?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Plateau United 1.56 · Shooting Stars 0.72), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Plateau United vs Shooting Stars?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.