Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 27/09, 12:00
Prediction: Slask Wroclaw (W) vs Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Team pages: Slask Wroclaw (W) · Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
Slask Wroclaw (W)1.86
Lech Poznan UAM (W)1.39
1X2
Slask Wroclaw (W)
Draw
Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Slask Wroclaw (W)
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Lech Poznan UAM (W)
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Slask Wroclaw (W)
1–1–0
Lech Poznan UAM (W)
(2 last)
- Slask Wroclaw (W)3-3Lech Poznan UAM (W)
- Lech Poznan UAM (W)0-3Slask Wroclaw (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Slask Wroclaw (W) 1440 · Lech Poznan UAM (W) 1437
| Slask Wroclaw (W) | Draw | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 25% | 28% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Slask Wroclaw (W) | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.1 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 22/0/78% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.7 | 2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Slask Wroclaw (W) 1–1–0 Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 3-3 HT 2-0 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) |
| 04/10/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Slask Wroclaw (W) |
Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Leczna (W) | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | GKS Katowice (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | APLG Gdansk (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Legia Warsaw (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 9 |
| 6 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| 9 | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
| 10 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 11 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 2 |
| 12 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Slask Wroclaw (W) | Lech Poznan UAM (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| APLG Gdansk (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| GKS Katowice (W) | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Slask Wroclaw (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
Lech Poznan UAM (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20/05 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Slask Wroclaw (W) vs Lech Poznan UAM (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Slask Wroclaw (W) win (48%). Probabilities: Slask Wroclaw (W) 48%, draw 25%, Lech Poznan UAM (W) 27%.
How many goals are expected in Slask Wroclaw (W) vs Lech Poznan UAM (W)?
The model expects 3.25 goals (Slask Wroclaw (W) 1.86 · Lech Poznan UAM (W) 1.39), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Slask Wroclaw (W) vs Lech Poznan UAM (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.