Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 27/09, 12:00

Prediction: Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) vs APLG Gdansk (W)

Team pages: Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) · APLG Gdansk (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)1.37

APLG Gdansk (W)1.42

1X2

36% 27% 38%

Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Draw APLG Gdansk (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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APLG Gdansk (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 3–3 APLG Gdansk (W) (6 last)

Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)1-0APLG Gdansk (W)
APLG Gdansk (W)0-1Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2-1APLG Gdansk (W)
APLG Gdansk (W)2-1Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)1-4APLG Gdansk (W)
APLG Gdansk (W)3-2Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 1457 · APLG Gdansk (W) 1495

	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	Draw	APLG Gdansk (W)
Our model	35%	28%	37%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	APLG Gdansk (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.7	2.2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	1.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.50

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
11:07 +48’	2.50	3.50	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 3–0–3 APLG Gdansk (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	APLG Gdansk (W)
27/09/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women	APLG Gdansk (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
23/03/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	2-1 HT 0-0	APLG Gdansk (W)
14/09/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women	APLG Gdansk (W)	2-1	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)
14/04/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	1-4 HT 0-3	APLG Gdansk (W)
16/09/23 Poland Ekstraliga Women	APLG Gdansk (W)	3-2 HT 2-0	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)

Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gornik Leczna (W)	4	4	0	0	13	2	12
2	GKS Katowice (W)	4	3	1	0	13	5	10
3	APLG Gdansk (W)	5	3	0	2	7	7	9
4	Pogon Szczecin (W)	5	3	0	2	13	7	9
5	Legia Warsaw (W)	5	3	0	2	14	11	9
6	Czarni Sosnowiec (W)	3	2	1	0	11	3	7
7	AZS UJ Krakow (W)	4	2	1	1	6	7	7
8	Lech Poznan UAM (W)	4	1	0	3	5	12	3
9	Slask Wroclaw (W)	5	0	2	3	4	11	2
10	UKS SMS Lodz (W)	4	0	2	2	2	8	2
11	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	5	0	2	3	5	14	2
12	Sleza Wroclaw (W)	4	0	1	3	3	9	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	APLG Gdansk (W)
Slask Wroclaw (W)	1-1 D	2-1 W
AZS UJ Krakow (W)	1-1 D	1-2 L
Gornik Leczna (W)	1-5 L	0-2 L
GKS Katowice (W)	1-3 L	0-3 L
Lech Poznan UAM (W)	1-2 L	2-1 W
Stomilanki Olsztyn (W)	3-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-1	0	3	D
22/08	AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/08	Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-3	1-5	3	3	L
09/08	Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-3	1-4	4	3	L
01/08	GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-1	1-3	1	2	L
30/05	Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
22/05	AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	0-1	0	2	L
10/05	Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	3-1	8	3	W
03/05	Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	5-1	11	3	W
25/04	APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	1-0	2	4	W

APLG Gdansk (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	2-1	2-1	6	2	W
22/08	UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	2-1	2	2	W
16/08	Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
08/08	AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	–	1-2	–	–	L
02/08	Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	0-2	4	1	L
30/05	GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-1	0-3	4	2	L
24/05	Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	1-0	2-1	0	0	W
09/05	AZS UJ Krakow (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
02/05	Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
25/04	Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women	0-0	0-1	6	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) vs APLG Gdansk (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an APLG Gdansk (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 36%, draw 27%, APLG Gdansk (W) 38%.

How many goals are expected in Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) vs APLG Gdansk (W)?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) 1.37 · APLG Gdansk (W) 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) vs APLG Gdansk (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.