Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 27/09, 12:45
Prediction: Czarni Sosnowiec (W) vs AZS UJ Krakow (W)
Team pages: Czarni Sosnowiec (W) · AZS UJ Krakow (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.62Total
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)2.81
AZS UJ Krakow (W)0.81
1X2
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
Draw
AZS UJ Krakow (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
AZS UJ Krakow (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
5–1
AZS UJ Krakow (W)
(6 last)
- Czarni Sosnowiec (W)1-0AZS UJ Krakow (W)
- AZS UJ Krakow (W)0-3Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
- AZS UJ Krakow (W)1-2Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
- Czarni Sosnowiec (W)2-0AZS UJ Krakow (W)
- Czarni Sosnowiec (W)0-4AZS UJ Krakow (W)
- AZS UJ Krakow (W)2-3Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 1601 · AZS UJ Krakow (W) 1533
| Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | Draw | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| Market | 79% | 13% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Czarni Sosnowiec (W) (rating 1601 vs 1533).
- H2H favours Czarni Sosnowiec (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.4 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/0/33% | 25/63/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.6 | 3.4 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 2.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 5–0–1 AZS UJ Krakow (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) |
| 30/08/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) |
| 12/05/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) |
| 04/11/23 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 2-0 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) |
| 28/05/23 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 0-4 HT 0-3 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) |
| 18/02/23 Women’s Friendly | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 2-3 HT 0-0 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) |
Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Leczna (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | GKS Katowice (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | APLG Gdansk (W) | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 5 | Legia Warsaw (W) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 9 |
| 6 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
| 7 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 3 |
| 9 | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 2 |
| 10 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| 11 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 2 |
| 12 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | AZS UJ Krakow (W) |
|---|---|---|
| UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 5-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Slask Wroclaw (W) | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Gornik Leczna (W) | 4-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Pogon Szczecin (W) | 2-2 D | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Czarni Sosnowiec (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 31/07 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
AZS UJ Krakow (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/08 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Gornik Leczna (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Czarni Sosnowiec (W) vs AZS UJ Krakow (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Czarni Sosnowiec (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 79%, draw 14%, AZS UJ Krakow (W) 8%.
How many goals are expected in Czarni Sosnowiec (W) vs AZS UJ Krakow (W)?
The model expects 3.62 goals (Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 2.81 · AZS UJ Krakow (W) 0.81), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Czarni Sosnowiec (W) vs AZS UJ Krakow (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.