Football · Poland Ekstraliga Women · 03/10, 13:00
Prediction: Gornik Leczna (W) vs GKS Katowice (W)
Team pages: Gornik Leczna (W) · GKS Katowice (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.48Total
Gornik Leczna (W)1.75
GKS Katowice (W)1.74
1X2
Gornik Leczna (W)
Draw
GKS Katowice (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Gornik Leczna (W)
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
GKS Katowice (W)
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gornik Leczna (W)
3–3
GKS Katowice (W)
(6 last)
- Gornik Leczna (W)2-1GKS Katowice (W)
- GKS Katowice (W)0-4Gornik Leczna (W)
- Gornik Leczna (W)2-0GKS Katowice (W)
- GKS Katowice (W)2-0Gornik Leczna (W)
- GKS Katowice (W)2-1Gornik Leczna (W)
- Gornik Leczna (W)0-4GKS Katowice (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gornik Leczna (W) 1598 · GKS Katowice (W) 1600
| Gornik Leczna (W) | Draw | GKS Katowice (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 24% | 38% |
| Market | 37% | 25% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 13.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gornik Leczna (W) | GKS Katowice (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.2 | 3.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 1.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7.8 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gornik Leczna (W) 3–0–3 GKS Katowice (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Gornik Leczna (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | GKS Katowice (W) |
| 03/10/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | GKS Katowice (W) | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Gornik Leczna (W) |
| 26/04/25 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Gornik Leczna (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | GKS Katowice (W) |
| 05/10/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women | GKS Katowice (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gornik Leczna (W) |
| 27/03/24 Poland Cup Women | GKS Katowice (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gornik Leczna (W) |
| 16/03/24 Poland Ekstraliga Women | Gornik Leczna (W) | 0-4 HT 0-0 | GKS Katowice (W) |
Standings · Poland Ekstraliga Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Leczna (W) | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | GKS Katowice (W) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Pogon Szczecin (W) | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | APLG Gdansk (W) | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 6 | Legia Warsaw (W) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 9 |
| 7 | AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
| 8 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 9 | Slask Wroclaw (W) | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 3 |
| 10 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 3 |
| 11 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
| 12 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gornik Leczna (W) | GKS Katowice (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sleza Wroclaw (W) | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 3-0 W | 5-0 W |
| Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 5-1 W | 3-1 W |
| APLG Gdansk (W) | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 1-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: GKS Katowice (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gornik Leczna (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/08 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Pogon Tczew (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
4-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Pogon Szczecin (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
0-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | GKS Katowice (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
GKS Katowice (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | Legia Warsaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
4-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Sleza Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Czarni Sosnowiec (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
3-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 08/08 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | APLG Gdansk (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | UKS SMS Lodz (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | Lech Poznan UAM (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Slask Wroclaw (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) Poland Ekstraliga Women |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gornik Leczna (W) vs GKS Katowice (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gornik Leczna (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Gornik Leczna (W) 38%, draw 25%, GKS Katowice (W) 37%.
How many goals are expected in Gornik Leczna (W) vs GKS Katowice (W)?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Gornik Leczna (W) 1.75 · GKS Katowice (W) 1.74), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Gornik Leczna (W) vs GKS Katowice (W)?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.