Football · Panama Liga Prom · 10/09, 16:00

Prediction: UMECIT Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves

Team pages: UMECIT Reserves · Plaza Amador Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.56Total

UMECIT Reserves1.73

Plaza Amador Reserves1.83

1X2

36% 25% 39%

UMECIT Reserves Draw Plaza Amador Reserves

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

UMECIT Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWDLLWWDL

Plaza Amador Reserves 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DDDLWLLWLW

Head-to-head

UMECIT Reserves 1–2–3 Plaza Amador Reserves (6 last)

Plaza Amador Reserves3-3UMECIT Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves2-3UMECIT Reserves
UMECIT Reserves1-3Plaza Amador Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves7-1UMECIT Reserves
UMECIT Reserves0-0Plaza Amador Reserves
Plaza Amador Reserves3-1UMECIT Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UMECIT Reserves 1508 · Plaza Amador Reserves 1476

	UMECIT Reserves	Draw	Plaza Amador Reserves
Our model	36%	24%	40%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.56 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Plaza Amador Reserves: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UMECIT Reserves	Plaza Amador Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	29/71/0%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.2	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.5	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.50

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:30 +7’	2.55	3.50	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · UMECIT Reserves 1–2–3 Plaza Amador Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	3-3 HT 1-1	UMECIT Reserves
26/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	2-3 HT 2-2	UMECIT Reserves
28/03/25 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	1-3 HT 0-0	Plaza Amador Reserves
14/11/24 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	7-1 HT 3-0	UMECIT Reserves
09/11/24 Panama Liga Prom	UMECIT Reserves	0-0 HT 0-0	Plaza Amador Reserves
24/08/24 Panama Liga Prom	Plaza Amador Reserves	3-1 HT 1-1	UMECIT Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tauro FC Reserves	7	4	2	1	13	6	14
2	Chorrillo	7	3	3	1	10	4	12
3	Potros Del Este	7	3	1	3	7	7	10
4	Plaza Amador Reserves	7	3	0	4	13	12	9
5	Alianza FC Reserves	7	1	2	4	6	13	5
6	San Martin FC	7	1	0	6	10	15	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UMECIT Reserves	Plaza Amador Reserves
Tauro FC Reserves	0-2 L	0-1 L
Potros Del Este	1-1 D	0-1 L
Champions FC Academy	3-1 W	6-1 W
CD Arabe Unido Reserves	0-3 L	4-4 D
Academia Costa Del Este	1-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Plaza Amador Reserves (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UMECIT Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-2	4	9	L
30/08	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
24/08	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-1	3-1	3	6	W
08/08	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-3	6	2	L
30/07	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
24/07	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	6	5	D
01/05	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/04	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	–	2-0	–	–	W
18/04	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-3	3	6	L

Plaza Amador Reserves

DDDLWLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	3-1	6-1	3	3	W
28/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	0	5	L
22/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	1-0	3-2	4	3	W
12/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
07/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
31/07	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	4-1	4	3	W
25/07	Potros Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
13/05	CD Arabe Unido Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-2	4-4	8	4	D
09/05	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-1	2	9	D
05/05	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	1-1	2-2	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UMECIT Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Plaza Amador Reserves win (39%). Probabilities: UMECIT Reserves 36%, draw 25%, Plaza Amador Reserves 39%.

How many goals are expected in UMECIT Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

The model expects 3.56 goals (UMECIT Reserves 1.73 · Plaza Amador Reserves 1.83), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in UMECIT Reserves vs Plaza Amador Reserves?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.