Football · Panama Liga Prom · 11/09, 03:00

Prediction: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves

Team pages: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves · Alianza FC Reserves

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1.81
Alianza FC Reserves0.95
1X2
57% 25% 19%
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Draw Alianza FC Reserves
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLLDWLDWWW
Alianza FC Reserves 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WDWLLDWDLL
Head-to-head
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 4–1–1 Alianza FC Reserves (6 last)
  • Alianza FC Reserves2-1Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
  • Alianza FC Reserves1-2Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
  • Sporting San Miguelito Reserves2-1Alianza FC Reserves
  • Alianza FC Reserves0-2Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
  • Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-1Alianza FC Reserves
  • Alianza FC Reserves0-4Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1512 · Alianza FC Reserves 1479
Sporting San Miguelito ReservesDrawAlianza FC Reserves
Our model57%25%18%
Market57%24%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Sporting San Miguelito Reserves: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sporting San Miguelito ReservesAlianza FC Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.51.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 1.10.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)44/22/33%38/63/0%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 3.93.1 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.46.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 411 Alianza FC Reserves

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
11/03/26
Panama Liga Prom
Alianza FC Reserves2-1
HT 1-0
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
11/09/25
Panama Liga Prom
Alianza FC Reserves1-2
HT 1-0
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
14/03/25
Panama Liga Prom
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves2-1
HT 1-1
Alianza FC Reserves
07/09/24
Panama Liga Prom
Alianza FC Reserves0-2
HT 0-1
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves
23/02/24
Panama Liga Prom
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves1-1
HT 0-0
Alianza FC Reserves
23/11/23
Panama Liga Prom
Alianza FC Reserves0-4
HT 0-4
Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tauro FC Reserves 7421 13614
2 Chorrillo 7331 10412
3 Potros Del Este 7313 7710
4 Plaza Amador Reserves 7304 13129
5 Alianza FC Reserves 7124 6135
6 San Martin FC 7106 10153

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSporting San Miguelito ReservesAlianza FC Reserves
Chorrillo 1-0 W 0-0 D
San Martin FC 1-0 W 1-4 L
Panama City FC 0-0 D 0-1 L
CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting San Miguelito Reserves

LLLDWLDWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/09 Chorrillo
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 W
28/08 San Martin FC
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 1-0 62 W
21/08 Academia Costa Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
2-1 3-1 24 W
14/08 Panama City FC
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 0-0 68 D
07/08 Champions FC Academy
Panama Liga Prom
1-4 3-5 95 L
31/07 CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 1-0 22 W
24/07 UMECIT Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 1-1 25 D
30/04 Champions FC Academy
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 1-2 43 L
25/04 CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-3 1-4 25 L
16/04 Academia Costa Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 0-2 210 L

Alianza FC Reserves

WDWLLDWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 1-2 48 L
29/08 Panama City FC
Panama Liga Prom
0-1 L
23/08 Tauro FC Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 1-1 510 D
15/08 Potros Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 2-1 37 W
06/08 Chorrillo
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 0-0 38 D
31/07 Plaza Amador Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-1 1-4 53 L
24/07 San Martin FC
Panama Liga Prom
1-4 L
30/04 Chorrillo
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 2-0 27 W
24/04 Plaza Amador Reserves
Panama Liga Prom
1-0 1-1 115 D
17/04 Potros Del Este
Panama Liga Prom
0-0 2-1 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting San Miguelito Reserves win (57%). Probabilities: Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 57%, draw 25%, Alianza FC Reserves 19%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Sporting San Miguelito Reserves 1.81 · Alianza FC Reserves 0.95), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting San Miguelito Reserves vs Alianza FC Reserves?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.