Football · Panama Liga Prom · 11/09, 01:00

Prediction: Potros Del Este vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves

Team pages: Potros Del Este · CD Arabe Unido Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Potros Del Este1.42

CD Arabe Unido Reserves1.35

1X2

38% 27% 35%

Potros Del Este Draw CD Arabe Unido Reserves

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Potros Del Este 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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CD Arabe Unido Reserves 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLLWLDDW

Head-to-head

Potros Del Este 0–2 CD Arabe Unido Reserves (2 last)

Potros Del Este1-2CD Arabe Unido Reserves
CD Arabe Unido Reserves2-1Potros Del Este

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Potros Del Este 1460 · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1539

	Potros Del Este	Draw	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Our model	38%	28%	35%
Market	38%	26%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Arabe Unido Reserves (rating 1460 vs 1539).
H2H favours CD Arabe Unido Reserves: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Potros Del Este	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.4	1.7 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/75/25%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.3	2.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.6 / 0.1	4.8 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.40

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.35▲	Bet365 2.35
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.60 → 2.55▼	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:37 +5’	2.30	3.40	2.60
18:15 +14’	2.35▲	3.40	2.55▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Potros Del Este 0–0–2 CD Arabe Unido Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Panama Liga Prom	Potros Del Este	1-2 HT 1-2	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
20/09/25 Panama Liga Prom	CD Arabe Unido Reserves	2-1 HT 0-1	Potros Del Este

Standings · Panama Liga Prom · Apertura, East-South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tauro FC Reserves	7	4	2	1	13	6	14
2	Chorrillo	7	3	3	1	10	4	12
3	Potros Del Este	7	3	1	3	7	7	10
4	Plaza Amador Reserves	7	3	0	4	13	12	9
5	Alianza FC Reserves	7	1	2	4	6	13	5
6	San Martin FC	7	1	0	6	10	15	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Potros Del Este	CD Arabe Unido Reserves
Panama City FC	0-1 L	0-1 L
UMECIT Reserves	1-1 D	3-0 W
Chorrillo	0-1 L	0-0 D
Alianza FC Reserves	1-2 L	2-1 W
San Martin FC	2-1 W	3-0 W
Plaza Amador Reserves	1-0 W	4-4 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CD Arabe Unido Reserves (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Potros Del Este

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
30/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	1-1	–	–	D
20/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
15/08	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	1-1	1-2	4	7	L
06/08	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	5	7	W
02/08	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	–	2-1	–	–	W
25/07	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
30/04	Tauro FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-4	4	5	L
26/04	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-1	2	10	D
17/04	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	8	4	L

CD Arabe Unido Reserves

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Alianza FC Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	2-1	5	8	W
27/08	Chorrillo Panama Liga Prom	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
21/08	Champions FC Academy Panama Liga Prom	2-1	2-2	3	6	D
16/08	Academia Costa Del Este Panama Liga Prom	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
08/08	UMECIT Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-0	3-0	4	2	W
31/07	Sporting San Miguelito Reserves Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
26/07	Panama City FC Panama Liga Prom	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
22/05	Udelas FC Panama Liga Prom	1-2	2-2	10	10	D
13/05	Plaza Amador Reserves Panama Liga Prom	2-2	4-4	8	4	D
09/05	San Martin FC Panama Liga Prom	2-0	3-0	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Potros Del Este vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Potros Del Este win (38%). Probabilities: Potros Del Este 38%, draw 27%, CD Arabe Unido Reserves 35%.

How many goals are expected in Potros Del Este vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Potros Del Este 1.42 · CD Arabe Unido Reserves 1.35), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Potros Del Este vs CD Arabe Unido Reserves?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.