Football · China Super League · 12/09, 13:35
Prediction: Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan
Team pages: Wuhan Three Towns · Henan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Wuhan Three Towns1.53
Henan1.64
1X2
Wuhan Three Towns
Draw
Henan
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Wuhan Three Towns
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Henan
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wuhan Three Towns
4–1–1
Henan
(6 last)
- Henan1-1Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns2-5Henan
- Henan1-2Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns1-0Henan
- Henan2-3Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns4-2Henan
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wuhan Three Towns 1494 · Henan 1498
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Henan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 26% | 40% |
| Market | 35% | 25% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Wuhan Three Towns: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wuhan Three Towns | Henan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 2.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wuhan Three Towns 4–1–1 Henan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 China Super League | Henan | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 19/09/25 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 2-5 HT 0-2 | Henan |
| 01/05/25 China Super League | Henan | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 29/09/24 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Henan |
| 17/05/24 China Super League | Henan | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 09/08/23 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 4-2 HT 1-0 | Henan |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | 40 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 38 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 51 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 33 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 31 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 31 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 42 | 28 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 45 | 28 |
| 12 | Henan | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 26 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 46 | 25 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 32 | 22 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 37 | 41 | 20 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 53 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wuhan Three Towns | Henan |
|---|---|---|
| Qingdao West Coast | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 5-1 W | 5-1 W |
| Shanghai Port | 2-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Dalian Young Boy | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Yunnan Yukun | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns (2 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 14/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 9 | D |
Henan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | D |
| 29/08 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Liaoning Ironman China Super League |
2-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 31/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 26/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Henan win (40%). Probabilities: Wuhan Three Towns 35%, draw 26%, Henan 40%.
How many goals are expected in Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Wuhan Three Towns 1.53 · Henan 1.64), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.