Football · China Super League · 06/09, 13:35

Prediction: Henan vs Chengdu Rongcheng

Team pages: Henan · Chengdu Rongcheng

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

Henan1.69

Chengdu Rongcheng1.57

1X2

40% 25% 35%

Henan Draw Chengdu Rongcheng

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Henan 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWDDLDD

Chengdu Rongcheng 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDDDDDLWLW

Head-to-head

Henan 3–1–2 Chengdu Rongcheng (6 last)

Chengdu Rongcheng3-0Henan
Chengdu Rongcheng1-2Henan
Chengdu Rongcheng0-0Henan
Henan3-2Chengdu Rongcheng
Henan2-0Chengdu Rongcheng
Chengdu Rongcheng4-2Henan

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Henan: 3-1-2.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Henan	Chengdu Rongcheng
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.9	3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.81

Under 2.752.03

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.73▲	Pinn 2.73
X	3.40 → 3.44▲	Pinn 3.44
2	2.59 → 2.51▼	Pinn 2.51

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
10:22 +2’	2.60	3.40	2.59
11:35	2.62▲	3.44▲	2.61▲
12:30	2.73▲	3.44	2.51▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Henan 3–1–2 Chengdu Rongcheng

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 China Super League	Chengdu Rongcheng	3-0 HT 1-0	Henan
31/10/25 China Super League	Chengdu Rongcheng	1-2 HT 1-0	Henan
19/08/25 China FA Cup	Chengdu Rongcheng	0-0 HT 0-0	Henan
14/06/25 China Super League	Henan	3-2 HT 2-2	Chengdu Rongcheng
21/09/24 China Super League	Henan	2-0 HT 1-0	Chengdu Rongcheng
10/05/24 China Super League	Chengdu Rongcheng	4-2 HT 3-2	Henan

Standings · China Super League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chengdu Rongcheng	25	15	6	4	51	30	51
2	Beijing Guoan	25	11	9	5	49	33	37
3	Qingdao West Coast	25	8	13	4	29	30	37
4	Dalian Young Boy	25	11	4	10	36	41	37
5	Shandong Taishan	25	13	3	9	45	42	36
6	Yunnan Yukun	25	10	5	10	49	51	35
7	Shanghai Port	25	10	7	8	40	33	32
8	Chongqing Tonglianglong	25	7	10	8	26	29	31
9	Shanghai Shenhua	25	11	5	9	49	45	28
10	Zhejiang	24	9	6	9	40	40	28
11	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng	25	8	3	14	33	44	27
12	Henan	24	8	7	9	32	34	25
13	Liaoning Ironman	24	7	4	13	34	41	25
14	Tianjin Jinmen Tigers	24	7	8	9	33	31	19
15	Wuhan Three Towns	23	5	9	9	35	39	19
16	Qingdao Hainiu	25	6	3	16	33	51	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Henan	Chengdu Rongcheng
Chongqing Tonglianglong	1-1 D	1-1 D
Liaoning Ironman	4-4 D	2-1 W
Shanghai Shenhua	1-4 L	4-5 L
Qingdao West Coast	0-0 D	1-1 D
Qingdao Hainiu	5-1 W	1-1 D
Yunnan Yukun	1-2 L	0-1 L
Zhejiang	0-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 3 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chengdu Rongcheng (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Henan

LLLWWDDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
23/08	Liaoning Ironman China Super League	2-0	4-4	8	3	D
15/08	Shanghai Shenhua China Super League	1-1	1-4	4	2	L
09/08	Qingdao West Coast China Super League	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
31/07	Dalian Young Boy China Super League	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
26/07	Shandong Taishan China Super League	2-0	2-1	6	5	W
17/07	Qingdao Hainiu China Super League	2-0	5-1	6	1	W
03/07	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	1-0	1-2	1	4	L
27/06	Shanghai Port China Super League	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
30/05	Zhejiang China Super League	0-1	0-2	7	4	L

Chengdu Rongcheng

WDDDDDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Liaoning Ironman China Super League	1-0	2-1	7	4	W
22/08	Shanghai Shenhua China Super League	2-1	4-5	2	2	L
15/08	Zhejiang China Super League	1-2	3-2	7	5	W
08/08	Yunnan Yukun China Super League	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
01/08	Wuhan Three Towns China Super League	0-0	1-1	9	4	D
26/07	Beijing Guoan China Super League	0-0	2-2	4	4	D
17/07	Qingdao West Coast China Super League	0-1	1-1	4	6	D
11/07	Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League	1-0	1-1	15	4	D
05/07	Qingdao Hainiu China Super League	0-0	1-1	7	1	D
27/06	Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League	1-0	3-2	9	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Henan vs Chengdu Rongcheng?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Henan win (40%). Probabilities: Henan 40%, draw 25%, Chengdu Rongcheng 35%.

How many goals are expected in Henan vs Chengdu Rongcheng?

The model expects 3.26 goals (Henan 1.69 · Chengdu Rongcheng 1.57), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Henan vs Chengdu Rongcheng?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.