Football · China Super League · 06/09, 13:35
Prediction: Yunnan Yukun vs Liaoning Ironman
Team pages: Yunnan Yukun · Liaoning Ironman
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.13Total
Yunnan Yukun2.44
Liaoning Ironman1.69
1X2
Yunnan Yukun
Draw
Liaoning Ironman
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Yunnan Yukun
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Liaoning Ironman
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yunnan Yukun
2–1
Liaoning Ironman
(3 last)
- Liaoning Ironman1-2Yunnan Yukun
- Liaoning Ironman2-1Yunnan Yukun
- Yunnan Yukun5-0Liaoning Ironman
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yunnan Yukun (rating 1509 vs 1452).
- H2H favours Yunnan Yukun: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yunnan Yukun | Liaoning Ironman | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 2.7 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.8 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.4 | 2.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yunnan Yukun 2–0–1 Liaoning Ironman
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 China Super League | Liaoning Ironman | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Yunnan Yukun |
| 03/11/24 China Division 1 | Liaoning Ironman | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Yunnan Yukun |
| 30/06/24 China Division 1 | Yunnan Yukun | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Liaoning Ironman |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 2 | Beijing Guoan | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 37 |
| 3 | Qingdao West Coast | 25 | 8 | 13 | 4 | 29 | 30 | 37 |
| 4 | Dalian Young Boy | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 41 | 37 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 45 | 42 | 36 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 49 | 51 | 35 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 32 |
| 8 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 26 | 29 | 31 |
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 45 | 28 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 28 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 25 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 44 | 27 |
| 12 | Henan | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 34 | 25 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 41 | 25 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 31 | 19 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 39 | 19 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 33 | 51 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yunnan Yukun | Liaoning Ironman |
|---|---|---|
| Beijing Guoan | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Dalian Young Boy | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 4-3 W | 1-2 L |
| Shanghai Port | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Shandong Taishan | 3-4 L | 1-5 L |
| Henan | 2-1 W | 4-4 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Yunnan Yukun (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yunnan Yukun
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Zhejiang China Super League |
0-5 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 10/07 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
1-3 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | L |
| 03/07 | Henan China Super League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
Liaoning Ironman
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Henan China Super League |
0-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 17/07 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Shandong Taishan China Super League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yunnan Yukun vs Liaoning Ironman?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yunnan Yukun win (54%). Probabilities: Yunnan Yukun 54%, draw 21%, Liaoning Ironman 26%.
How many goals are expected in Yunnan Yukun vs Liaoning Ironman?
The model expects 4.13 goals (Yunnan Yukun 2.44 · Liaoning Ironman 1.69), with a 54% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Yunnan Yukun vs Liaoning Ironman?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.