Football · China Super League · 18/09, 13:35
Prediction: Zhejiang vs Wuhan Three Towns
Team pages: Zhejiang · Wuhan Three Towns
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.43Total
Zhejiang1.97
Wuhan Three Towns1.46
1X2
Zhejiang
Draw
Wuhan Three Towns
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Zhejiang
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Wuhan Three Towns
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zhejiang
5–1
Wuhan Three Towns
(6 last)
- Wuhan Three Towns2-0Zhejiang
- Zhejiang3-2Wuhan Three Towns
- Wuhan Three Towns0-4Zhejiang
- Wuhan Three Towns0-2Zhejiang
- Zhejiang3-1Wuhan Three Towns
- Zhejiang2-1Wuhan Three Towns
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zhejiang 1477 · Wuhan Three Towns 1513
| Zhejiang | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 24% | 28% |
| Market | 49% | 22% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Zhejiang: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zhejiang | Wuhan Three Towns | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.2 | 2.6 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zhejiang 5–0–1 Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04/26 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Zhejiang |
| 27/07/25 China Super League | Zhejiang | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 28/03/25 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 0-4 HT 0-4 | Zhejiang |
| 18/10/24 China Super League | Wuhan Three Towns | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Zhejiang |
| 21/05/24 China Super League | Zhejiang | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 04/08/23 China Super League | Zhejiang | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Wuhan Three Towns |
Standings · China Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 51 | 30 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | 40 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 49 | 33 | 38 |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 54 | 51 | 38 |
| 5 | Qingdao West Coast | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | 38 |
| 6 | Shandong Taishan | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 37 |
| 7 | Shanghai Port | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 40 | 33 | 33 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 31 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 32 | 31 |
| 10 | Zhejiang | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 41 | 42 | 28 |
| 11 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 45 | 28 |
| 12 | Henan | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | 27 |
| 13 | Liaoning Ironman | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | 25 |
| 14 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 25 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | 38 | 42 | 21 |
| 16 | Qingdao Hainiu | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 53 | 14 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zhejiang | Wuhan Three Towns |
|---|---|---|
| Tianjin Jinmen Tigers | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Beijing Guoan | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Dalian Young Boy | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Qingdao Hainiu | 3-2 W | 5-1 W |
| Qingdao West Coast | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Wuhan Three Towns (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zhejiang
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Yunnan Yukun China Super League |
5-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 26/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 14/07 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Shanghai Shenhua China Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 28/06 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
Wuhan Three Towns
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Henan China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Qingdao West Coast China Super League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Qingdao Hainiu China Super League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Tianjin Jinmen Tigers China Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 14/08 | Shanghai Port China Super League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng China Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng China Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Dalian Young Boy China Super League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Beijing Guoan China Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zhejiang vs Wuhan Three Towns?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zhejiang win (49%). Probabilities: Zhejiang 49%, draw 23%, Wuhan Three Towns 28%.
How many goals are expected in Zhejiang vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model expects 3.43 goals (Zhejiang 1.97 · Wuhan Three Towns 1.46), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Zhejiang vs Wuhan Three Towns?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.