Football · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · 18/09, 21:00

Prediction: Cliftonville (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)

Team pages: Cliftonville (W) · Lisburn Rangers (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.41Total

Cliftonville (W)3.2

Lisburn Rangers (W)1.2

1X2

84% 9% 7%

Cliftonville (W) Draw Lisburn Rangers (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Cliftonville (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Lisburn Rangers (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cliftonville (W) 5–1 Lisburn Rangers (W) (6 last)

Lisburn Rangers (W)0-3Cliftonville (W)
Cliftonville (W)3-4Lisburn Rangers (W)
Cliftonville (W)1-0Lisburn Rangers (W)
Cliftonville (W)3-1Lisburn Rangers (W)
Lisburn Rangers (W)0-2Cliftonville (W)
Lisburn Rangers (W)1-8Cliftonville (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cliftonville (W) 1656 · Lisburn Rangers (W) 1535

	Cliftonville (W)	Draw	Lisburn Rangers (W)
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	91%	6%	4%

Estimated total (ours) 4.41 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cliftonville (W) (rating 1656 vs 1535).
H2H favours Cliftonville (W): 5-0-1.
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cliftonville (W)	Lisburn Rangers (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	4.5 / 0.7	2.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	2.2 / 0.3	1.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 8.6	1.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.03

X17.00

226.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.90

2 (+3.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.90

Under 4.51.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.03 → 1.03	Bet365 1.03
X	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00
2	26.00 → 26.00	Bet365 26.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:11 +7’	1.03	17.00	26.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cliftonville (W) 5–0–1 Lisburn Rangers (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/08/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn Rangers (W)	0-3 HT 0-2	Cliftonville (W)
10/07/26 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Cliftonville (W)	3-4 HT 2-2	Lisburn Rangers (W)
04/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Cliftonville (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Lisburn Rangers (W)
25/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Cliftonville (W)	3-1 HT 1-0	Lisburn Rangers (W)
15/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn Rangers (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Cliftonville (W)
16/09/24 Northern Ireland Premier League Women	Lisburn Rangers (W)	1-8 HT 0-4	Cliftonville (W)

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier League Women · Premiership, Women 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cliftonville (W)	14	13	0	1	65	10	39
2	Glentoran (W)	14	11	1	2	55	14	34
3	Linfield (W)	14	9	1	4	60	22	28
4	Lisburn Rangers (W)	14	8	1	5	35	30	25

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cliftonville (W)	Lisburn Rangers (W)
Derry City (W)	4-0 W	3-0 W
Glentoran (W)	2-1 W	0-6 L
Linfield (W)	3-1 W	5-2 W
Larne FC (W)	8-0 W	5-1 W
Crusaders Strikers (W)	9-0 W	2-2 D
Lisburn (W)	7-0 W	6-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Cliftonville (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cliftonville (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	3-0	4-0	6	0	W
30/08	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	2-1	6	5	W
14/08	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	8	4	W
10/08	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-1	3-1	9	1	W
07/08	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	4-0	8-0	11	2	W
03/08	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	3-1	6	4	W
31/07	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	5-0	9-0	–	–	W
24/07	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	3-0	7-0	9	0	W
10/07	Lisburn Rangers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-2	3-4	–	–	L
26/06	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	14	2	W

Lisburn Rangers (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	4-1	5-2	3	2	W
28/08	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	5-1	5-1	–	–	W
18/08	Glentoran (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	0-6	–	–	L
14/08	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-2	0-3	0	4	L
09/08	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
31/07	Lisburn (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
24/07	Crusaders Strikers (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-0	2-2	9	1	D
10/07	Cliftonville (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-2	4-3	–	–	W
03/07	Linfield (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	0-3	0-3	5	1	L
19/06	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Premier League Women	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cliftonville (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cliftonville (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Cliftonville (W) 84%, draw 9%, Lisburn Rangers (W) 7%.

How many goals are expected in Cliftonville (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)?

The model expects 4.41 goals (Cliftonville (W) 3.2 · Lisburn Rangers (W) 1.2), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cliftonville (W) vs Lisburn Rangers (W)?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.