Prediction: Paysandu FC vs La Luz
Team pages: Paysandu FC · La Luz
- La Luz1-2Paysandu FC
| Paysandu FC | Draw | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 30% | 35% |
| Market | 36% | 30% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paysandu FC (rating 1546 vs 1441).
- Cards-heavy: 12.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paysandu FC | La Luz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.3 | 3.6 / 6.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.3 | 6.4 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paysandu FC 1–0–0 La Luz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 Uruguay Segunda | La Luz | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Paysandu FC |
Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Oriental | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Colon FC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Miramar Misiones | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 6 | Paysandu FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | CA River Plate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paysandu FC | La Luz |
|---|---|---|
| CA River Plate | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Huracan DPA | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Uruguay Montevideo | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Club Oriental | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Colon FC | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Atletico Fenix Montevideo | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Rentistas | 2-1 W | 2-5 L |
| Miramar Misiones | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 3 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Paysandu FC (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paysandu FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Cerrito Uruguay Segunda |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 15/08 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 25/07 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 04/07 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
La Luz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 29/08 | Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 23/08 | Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 17/08 | Colon FC Uruguay Segunda |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 08/08 | Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Rentistas Uruguay Segunda |
1-2 | 2-5 | 9 | 12 | L |
| 27/07 | Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 13/07 | Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/07 | Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 10 | L |
| 28/06 | CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paysandu FC vs La Luz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paysandu FC win (35%). Probabilities: Paysandu FC 35%, draw 30%, La Luz 35%.
How many goals are expected in Paysandu FC vs La Luz?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Paysandu FC 1.22 · La Luz 1.2), with a 56% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Paysandu FC vs La Luz?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.