Football · Uruguay Segunda · 12/09, 17:00

Prediction: Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo

Team pages: Uruguay Montevideo · Tacuarembo

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.73Total
Uruguay Montevideo0.86
Tacuarembo0.86
1X2
34% 33% 34%
Uruguay Montevideo Draw Tacuarembo
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Uruguay Montevideo 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLDDWWLLDL
Tacuarembo 2-2-6 (W-D-L)
LDLLWDWLLL
Head-to-head
Uruguay Montevideo 1–3–2 Tacuarembo (6 last)
  • Tacuarembo1-0Uruguay Montevideo
  • Uruguay Montevideo1-1Tacuarembo
  • Uruguay Montevideo0-0Tacuarembo
  • Tacuarembo2-0Uruguay Montevideo
  • Tacuarembo0-0Uruguay Montevideo
  • Uruguay Montevideo1-0Tacuarembo
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Uruguay Montevideo 1474 · Tacuarembo 1455
Uruguay MontevideoDrawTacuarembo
Our model32%36%32%
Market35%30%35%
Estimated total (ours) 1.73 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Tacuarembo: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Uruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 1.20.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.60.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/33/33%11/44/44%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.72.1 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.46 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Uruguay Montevideo 132 Tacuarembo

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/06/26
Uruguay Segunda
Tacuarembo1-0
HT 0-0
Uruguay Montevideo
26/04/26
Uruguay Segunda
Uruguay Montevideo1-1
HT 1-1
Tacuarembo
25/10/25
Uruguay Segunda
Uruguay Montevideo0-0
HT 0-0
Tacuarembo
03/08/25
Uruguay Segunda
Tacuarembo2-0
HT 1-0
Uruguay Montevideo
26/09/24
Uruguay Segunda
Tacuarembo0-0
HT 0-0
Uruguay Montevideo
11/06/24
Uruguay Segunda
Uruguay Montevideo1-0
HT 0-0
Tacuarembo

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Atletico Fenix Montevideo 6321 13711
2 Huracan DPA 6240 9610
3 Uruguay Montevideo 6231 759
4 Cerrito 6231 889
5 La Luz 6141 567
6 CA Atenas 6114 5114
7 Tacuarembo 6033 593

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUruguay MontevideoTacuarembo
Plaza Colonia 0-1 L 0-2 L
La Luz 0-0 D 0-2 L
Cerrito 0-3 L 0-0 D
CA Atenas 1-2 L 0-2 L
CA River Plate 1-1 D 1-0 W
Club Oriental 1-1 D 0-1 L
Colon FC 0-1 L 0-1 L
Atletico Fenix Montevideo 3-2 W 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 3 D 4 L 1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Uruguay Montevideo (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Uruguay Montevideo

WLDDWWLLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/09 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 18 L
29/08 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 47 D
22/08 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-3 L
15/08 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-2 96 L
08/08 Paysandu FC
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-0 53 W
01/08 Huracan DPA
Uruguay Segunda
2-1 3-1 24 W
18/07 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 1-1 76 D
12/07 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 24 D
06/07 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 27 L
27/06 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
1-2 3-2 1011 W

Tacuarembo

LDLLWDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/09 Club Oriental
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-1 13 L
29/08 Colon FC
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-1 25 L
23/08 Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguay Segunda
0-1 0-2 615 L
16/08 Rentistas
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 1-0 15 W
09/08 Miramar Misiones
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 1-1 47 D
02/08 CA River Plate
Uruguay Segunda
1-0 W
25/07 Plaza Colonia
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-2 85 L
13/07 La Luz
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-2 26 L
05/07 Cerrito
Uruguay Segunda
0-0 0-0 15 D
27/06 CA Atenas
Uruguay Segunda
0-2 0-2 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Uruguay Montevideo win (34%). Probabilities: Uruguay Montevideo 34%, draw 33%, Tacuarembo 34%.

How many goals are expected in Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?

The model expects 1.73 goals (Uruguay Montevideo 0.86 · Tacuarembo 0.86), with a 58% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Uruguay Montevideo vs Tacuarembo?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.