Football · Uruguay Segunda · 13/09, 02:00

Prediction: Colon FC vs Rentistas

Team pages: Colon FC · Rentistas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

Colon FC1.18

Rentistas1.15

1X2

36% 30% 34%

Colon FC Draw Rentistas

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Colon FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWWDWW

Rentistas 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDWDLDDW

Head-to-head

Colon FC 3–3 Rentistas (6 last)

Rentistas0-2Colon FC
Colon FC1-2Rentistas
Colon FC4-0Rentistas
Rentistas1-2Colon FC
Colon FC1-2Rentistas
Rentistas2-1Colon FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colon FC 1528 · Rentistas 1523

	Colon FC	Draw	Rentistas
Our model	35%	31%	34%
Market	36%	30%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colon FC	Rentistas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.9	1.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.5	6.1 / 0.9

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Pinn 2.71 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
15:10 +15’	2.50	3.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:55 +121’	2.79	2.87	2.60
00:46 +6’	2.71▼	2.85▼	2.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colon FC 3–0–3 Rentistas

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Uruguay Segunda	Rentistas	0-2 HT 0-1	Colon FC
28/03/26 Uruguay Segunda	Colon FC	1-2 HT 0-2	Rentistas
15/08/25 Uruguay Segunda	Colon FC	4-0 HT 3-0	Rentistas
24/05/25 Uruguay Segunda	Rentistas	1-2 HT 0-1	Colon FC
03/11/24 Uruguay Segunda	Colon FC	1-2 HT 1-0	Rentistas
16/07/24 Uruguay Segunda	Rentistas	2-1 HT 2-0	Colon FC

Standings · Uruguay Segunda · Segunda Division 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Oriental	6	4	1	1	8	5	13
2	Plaza Colonia	6	3	3	0	9	2	12
3	Colon FC	6	2	3	1	8	5	9
4	Rentistas	6	2	3	1	6	5	9
5	Miramar Misiones	6	1	2	3	3	7	5
6	Paysandu FC	6	1	1	4	4	7	4
7	CA River Plate	6	1	1	4	6	13	4

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colon FC	Rentistas
Miramar Misiones	1-0 W	1-1 D
Tacuarembo	1-0 W	0-1 L
Plaza Colonia	1-1 D	1-1 D
La Luz	2-1 W	5-2 W
Cerrito	1-0 W	0-0 D
CA Atenas	1-4 L	3-1 W
Paysandu FC	2-3 L	1-2 L
Huracan DPA	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Colon FC (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colon FC

DWWLLWWDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
29/08	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
22/08	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-1	1-1	13	5	D
17/08	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	2-0	2-1	0	2	W
08/08	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
03/08	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	1-2	1-4	6	5	L
25/07	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	1-1	2-3	7	3	L
11/07	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	2-0	2-0	3	7	W
06/07	Uruguay Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
28/06	Club Oriental Uruguay Segunda	0-1	1-1	6	4	D

Rentistas

WLWDWDLDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Atletico Fenix Montevideo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
30/08	CA River Plate Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
21/08	Miramar Misiones Uruguay Segunda	0-0	1-1	10	4	D
16/08	Tacuarembo Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-1	12	5	L
10/08	Plaza Colonia Uruguay Segunda	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
01/08	La Luz Uruguay Segunda	2-1	5-2	1	12	W
18/07	Cerrito Uruguay Segunda	0-0	0-0	4	8	D
12/07	CA Atenas Uruguay Segunda	2-1	3-1	4	11	W
04/07	Paysandu FC Uruguay Segunda	1-1	1-2	10	5	L
27/06	Huracan DPA Uruguay Segunda	1-0	2-1	4	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colon FC vs Rentistas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colon FC win (36%). Probabilities: Colon FC 36%, draw 30%, Rentistas 34%.

How many goals are expected in Colon FC vs Rentistas?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Colon FC 1.18 · Rentistas 1.15), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Colon FC vs Rentistas?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.