Football · Colombia Primera A · 29/10, 00:00
Prediction: Once Caldas vs Alianza
Team pages: Once Caldas · Alianza
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Once Caldas1.51
Alianza0.97
1X2
Once Caldas
Draw
Alianza
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Once Caldas
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Alianza
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Once Caldas
2–2–2
Alianza
(6 last)
- Once Caldas1-0Alianza
- Alianza1-1Once Caldas
- Alianza0-0Once Caldas
- Once Caldas1-2Alianza
- Alianza1-0Once Caldas
- Once Caldas1-0Alianza
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Once Caldas | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.7 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.4 | 6.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Once Caldas 2–2–2 Alianza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/26 Colombia Cup | Once Caldas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Alianza |
| 08/02/26 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
| 15/08/25 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Once Caldas |
| 02/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Alianza |
| 06/10/24 Colombia Primera A | Alianza | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Once Caldas |
| 25/03/24 Colombia Primera A | Once Caldas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Alianza |
Standings · Colombia Primera A · Finalizacion
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Atletico Nacional Medellin | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 29 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Atletico Bucaramanga | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Independiente Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 25 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 23 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 9 | Cucuta Deportivo | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 22 | 21 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 17 |
| 14 | Junior | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 23 | 15 |
| 15 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 15 |
| 16 | Boyaca Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 25 | 15 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 14 |
| 18 | Fortaleza CEIF | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 11 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 28 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 9 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Once Caldas | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pasto | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Cali | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Boyaca Chico | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Alianza (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Once Caldas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Deportivo Pereira Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 7 | D |
| 21/10 | Millonarios Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 18/10 | Independiente Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Llaneros Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/10 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/09 | Deportes Tolima Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
Alianza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Deportivo Pasto Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 11 | D |
| 03/10 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 27/09 | Jaguares de Cordoba Colombia Primera A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/09 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Primera A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 03/09 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Primera A |
1-3 | 1-5 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/08 | Cucuta Deportivo Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Once Caldas vs Alianza?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Once Caldas win (49%). Probabilities: Once Caldas 49%, draw 28%, Alianza 23%.
How many goals are expected in Once Caldas vs Alianza?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Once Caldas 1.51 · Alianza 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Once Caldas vs Alianza?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.