Football · China Division 2 · 12/09, 13:30

Prediction: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Dalian Kewei

Team pages: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic · Dalian Kewei

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic1.16
Dalian Kewei0.85
1X2
42% 32% 26%
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic Draw Dalian Kewei
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
DLLWWWWLDD
Dalian Kewei 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WWLDWWDDWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1520 · Dalian Kewei 1519
Guizhou Zhucheng AthleticDrawDalian Kewei
Our model42%33%25%
Market43%31%26%
Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Guizhou Zhucheng AthleticDalian Kewei
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.81.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 6.22.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.33.2 / 0.1

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 221336 321742
2 Shandong Taishan Reserves 221255 332141
3 Shanghai Port Reserves 221246 361940
4 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 221246 291740
5 Shenzhen 2028 221075 372537
6 Dalian Kewei 229103 221437
7 Jiangxi Lushan 221057 251935
8 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 228104 252834

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

DLLWWWWLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 88 D
16/08 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 93 D
11/08 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
0-2 3-4 47 L
05/08 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
1-0 2-0 107 W
01/08 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 45 W
25/07 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
2-0 3-0 81 W
19/07 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 41 W
05/07 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-1 1-2 66 L
27/06 Hubei Istar
China Division 2
0-2 0-2 66 L
23/06 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 35 D

Dalian Kewei

WWLDWWDDWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
1-1 1-2 14 L
15/08 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 46 W
09/08 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
0-2 2-2 54 D
02/08 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 2-2 21 D
25/07 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 2-0 22 W
18/07 Beijing Institute
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 123 W
12/07 Shanghai Segenda
China Division 2
0-1 1-1 112 D
08/07 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-1 0-2 64 L
04/07 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
0-1 2-1 26 W
27/06 Shanghai Port Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 61 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Dalian Kewei?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic win (42%). Probabilities: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 42%, draw 32%, Dalian Kewei 26%.

How many goals are expected in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Dalian Kewei?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.16 · Dalian Kewei 0.85), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic vs Dalian Kewei?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.