Football · China Division 2 · 19/09, 13:30

Prediction: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Shanghai Port Reserves

Team pages: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue · Shanghai Port Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.2Total

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue1

Shanghai Port Reserves1.2

1X2

30% 31% 40%

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue Draw Shanghai Port Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

DWDDWDWWWD

Shanghai Port Reserves 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWLWLLLWW

Head-to-head

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 4–0 Shanghai Port Reserves (4 last)

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue1-0Shanghai Port Reserves
Shanghai Port Reserves1-2Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Shanghai Port Reserves0-3Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue2-0Shanghai Port Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1573 · Shanghai Port Reserves 1507

	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Draw	Shanghai Port Reserves
Our model	29%	32%	39%
Market	30%	30%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hangzhou Linping Wuyue (rating 1573 vs 1507).
H2H favours Hangzhou Linping Wuyue: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Shanghai Port Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.7	1.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.5	1.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.00

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:35 +4’	3.00	3.00	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 4–0–0 Shanghai Port Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/06/25 China Division 2	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1-0 HT 0-0	Shanghai Port Reserves
13/04/25 China Division 2	Shanghai Port Reserves	1-2 HT 1-1	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
22/09/24 China Division 2	Shanghai Port Reserves	0-3 HT 0-1	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
17/08/24 China Division 2	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2-0 HT 2-0	Shanghai Port Reserves

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shanghai Port Reserves	23	13	4	6	37	19	43
2	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	23	13	3	7	32	18	42
3	Shandong Taishan Reserves	23	12	6	5	33	21	42
4	Shenzhen 2028	23	11	7	5	38	25	40
5	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	23	12	4	7	29	18	40
6	Dalian Kewei	23	10	10	3	23	14	40
7	Jiangxi Lushan	23	10	5	8	25	20	35
8	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	23	8	11	4	25	28	35

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	Shanghai Port Reserves
Shandong Taishan Reserves	0-0 D	1-3 L
Jiangxi Lushan	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue

DWDDWDWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
23/08	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
16/08	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
11/08	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	2-0	4-3	2	7	W
01/08	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
26/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
19/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
12/07	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	3	D
08/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
05/07	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	5	D

Shanghai Port Reserves

LWWLWLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
22/08	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
15/08	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
08/08	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-3	1-3	4	3	L
05/08	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
01/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
26/07	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-1	2-3	3	1	L
18/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	2-0	0	6	W
04/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	4-1	5-1	9	1	W
27/06	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Shanghai Port Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shanghai Port Reserves win (40%). Probabilities: Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 30%, draw 31%, Shanghai Port Reserves 40%.

How many goals are expected in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Shanghai Port Reserves?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1 · Shanghai Port Reserves 1.2), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Hangzhou Linping Wuyue vs Shanghai Port Reserves?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.