Football · China Division 2 · 19/09, 13:30

Prediction: Xiamen Feilu vs Beijing Institute

Team pages: Xiamen Feilu · Beijing Institute

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Xiamen Feilu1.76
Beijing Institute0.91
1X2
56% 26% 18%
Xiamen Feilu Draw Beijing Institute
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Xiamen Feilu 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WDDLLLDWLL
Beijing Institute 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLWDWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Xiamen Feilu 1459 · Beijing Institute 1468
Xiamen FeiluDrawBeijing Institute
Our model56%26%18%
Market56%26%18%
Estimated total (ours) 2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Xiamen FeiluBeijing Institute
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.31.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/80/10%0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.60.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 02.8 / 0.1

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tai'an Tiankuang 23887 252332
2 Xiamen Feilu 23788 292929
3 Qingdao Red Lions 236107 232028
4 Nantong Haimen Codion 235126 262427
5 Ganzhou Ruishi 23689 193326
6 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves 235810 192523
7 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 234811 202620
8 Beijing Institute 234712 224219

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentXiamen FeiluBeijing Institute
Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 L 1-6 L
Ganzhou Ruishi 0-0 D 1-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Xiamen Feilu

WDDLLLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/09 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 34 L
23/08 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
0-0 0-2 81 L
16/08 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-0 2-0 04 W
08/08 Guangzhou Dandelion
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 23 D
02/08 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
1-2 1-5 70 L
29/07 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
1-1 1-2 93 L
26/07 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
1-0 1-2 74 L
18/07 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 D
05/07 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 23 D
27/06 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
1-1 2-1 34 W

Beijing Institute

LLLLLLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/09 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 54 W
22/08 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
1-1 4-3 34 W
15/08 Changchun Xidu
China Division 2
1-1 2-2 53 D
08/08 Shanghai Segenda
China Division 2
0-1 2-1 45 W
05/08 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 31 L
01/08 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-1 0-2 43 L
29/07 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
0-0 1-2 04 L
27/07 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-3 1-6 41 L
18/07 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
0-0 0-1 33 L
04/07 Shanghai Port Reserves
China Division 2
1-4 1-5 31 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Xiamen Feilu vs Beijing Institute?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Xiamen Feilu win (56%). Probabilities: Xiamen Feilu 56%, draw 26%, Beijing Institute 18%.

How many goals are expected in Xiamen Feilu vs Beijing Institute?

The model expects 2.66 goals (Xiamen Feilu 1.76 · Beijing Institute 0.91), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Xiamen Feilu vs Beijing Institute?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.