Football · China Division 2 · 13/09, 13:00
Prediction: Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Team pages: Shandong Taishan Reserves · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Shandong Taishan Reserves1.72
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue0.74
1X2
Shandong Taishan Reserves
Draw
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Shandong Taishan Reserves
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Shandong Taishan Reserves
2–1–1
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
(4 last)
- Shandong Taishan Reserves3-0Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
- Hangzhou Linping Wuyue0-1Shandong Taishan Reserves
- Hangzhou Linping Wuyue2-0Shandong Taishan Reserves
- Shandong Taishan Reserves0-0Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1555 · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 1563
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | Draw | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 60% | 25% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shandong Taishan Reserves: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.2 | 1.4 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shandong Taishan Reserves 2–1–1 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/25 China Division 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue |
| 07/05/25 China Division 2 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Shandong Taishan Reserves |
| 23/06/24 China Division 2 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Shandong Taishan Reserves |
| 11/04/24 China Division 2 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 17 | 42 |
| 3 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 41 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Shenzhen 2028 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 25 | 37 |
| 6 | Dalian Kewei | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 37 |
| 7 | Jiangxi Lushan | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 35 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 25 | 28 | 34 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shandong Taishan Reserves
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 11/08 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
2-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 19/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 12/07 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 08/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shandong Taishan Reserves win (60%). Probabilities: Shandong Taishan Reserves 60%, draw 25%, Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 15%.
How many goals are expected in Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Shandong Taishan Reserves 1.72 · Hangzhou Linping Wuyue 0.74), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Hangzhou Linping Wuyue?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.