Prediction: Shenzhen 2028 vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Team pages: Shenzhen 2028 · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
| Shenzhen 2028 | Draw | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 32% | 27% |
| Market | 42% | 30% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shenzhen 2028 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.8 | 1.1 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 18 | 42 |
| 3 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 41 |
| 4 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 17 | 40 |
| 5 | Dalian Kewei | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 40 |
| 6 | Shenzhen 2028 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 25 | 37 |
| 7 | Jiangxi Lushan | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 35 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 25 | 28 | 34 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shenzhen 2028
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
2-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 28/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/06 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 05/08 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shenzhen 2028 vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shenzhen 2028 win (41%). Probabilities: Shenzhen 2028 41%, draw 31%, Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 28%.
How many goals are expected in Shenzhen 2028 vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?
The model expects 2.08 goals (Shenzhen 2028 1.18 · Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 0.91), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shenzhen 2028 vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.