Prediction: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Team pages: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Draw | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 35% | 29% |
| Market | 38% | 31% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shanxi Chongde Ronghai (rating 1547 vs 1504).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.4 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 2.5 | 2.9 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Promotion Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 37 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 18 | 42 |
| 3 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 42 |
| 4 | Shenzhen 2028 | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 40 |
| 5 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 18 | 40 |
| 6 | Dalian Kewei | 23 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 23 | 14 | 40 |
| 7 | Jiangxi Lushan | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 35 |
| 8 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 25 | 28 | 35 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Shenzhen 2028 | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Dalian Kewei | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 05/08 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 19/07 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 11/08 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 05/08 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 27/06 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanxi Chongde Ronghai win (37%). Probabilities: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 37%, draw 33%, Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 30%.
How many goals are expected in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?
The model expects 1.88 goals (Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 0.88), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.