Prediction: Shanghai Segenda vs Hubei Istar
Team pages: Shanghai Segenda · Hubei Istar
| Shanghai Segenda | Draw | Hubei Istar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 30% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hubei Istar (rating 1428 vs 1483).
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Shanghai Segenda | Hubei Istar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 1 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hubei Istar | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 34 |
| 2 | Guangdong Mingtu | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 29 |
| 3 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 23 | 5 | 14 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 23 | 28 |
| 5 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 25 |
| 6 | Wenzhou FC | 23 | 5 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 25 |
| 7 | Changchun Xidu | 23 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 29 | 23 |
| 8 | Shanghai Segenda | 23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 40 | 15 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Shanghai Segenda | Hubei Istar |
|---|---|---|
| Guangdong Mingtu | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Changchun Xidu | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shanghai Segenda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
Hubei Istar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 08/08 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/08 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 26/07 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
2-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shanghai Segenda vs Hubei Istar?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Shanghai Segenda win (38%). Probabilities: Shanghai Segenda 38%, draw 30%, Hubei Istar 32%.
How many goals are expected in Shanghai Segenda vs Hubei Istar?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Shanghai Segenda 1.33 · Hubei Istar 1.2), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Shanghai Segenda vs Hubei Istar?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.