Prediction: Guangdong Mingtu vs Shanghai Segenda
Team pages: Guangdong Mingtu · Shanghai Segenda
- Shanghai Segenda1-0Guangdong Mingtu
| Guangdong Mingtu | Draw | Shanghai Segenda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 31% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guangdong Mingtu (rating 1505 vs 1433).
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangdong Mingtu | Shanghai Segenda | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.2 | 2.2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangdong Mingtu 0–0–1 Shanghai Segenda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/04/26 China FA Cup | Shanghai Segenda | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guangdong Mingtu |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hubei Istar | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 23 | 34 |
| 2 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 28 |
| 3 | Guangdong Mingtu | 22 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22 | 20 | 26 |
| 4 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 25 |
| 6 | Wenzhou FC | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 22 |
| 7 | Changchun Xidu | 22 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 20 |
| 8 | Shanghai Segenda | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 39 | 15 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guangdong Mingtu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 27/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Shanghai Segenda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/08 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Changchun Xidu China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 05/07 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guangdong Mingtu vs Shanghai Segenda?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangdong Mingtu win (49%). Probabilities: Guangdong Mingtu 49%, draw 29%, Shanghai Segenda 22%.
How many goals are expected in Guangdong Mingtu vs Shanghai Segenda?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Guangdong Mingtu 1.35 · Shanghai Segenda 0.81), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Guangdong Mingtu vs Shanghai Segenda?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.