Football · China Division 2 · 13/09, 10:00

Prediction: Guangzhou Dandelion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Team pages: Guangzhou Dandelion · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.73Total
Guangzhou Dandelion0.89
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0.84
1X2
34% 34% 32%
Guangzhou Dandelion Draw Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 53% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 19%
Recent form · 10 last
Guangzhou Dandelion 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DLLDLDLDWD
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2-7-1 (W-D-L)
DLDDDDWDWD
Head-to-head
Guangzhou Dandelion 0–1–1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic (2 last)
  • Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1-0Guangzhou Dandelion
  • Guangzhou Dandelion0-0Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Guangzhou Dandelion 1457 · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1520
Guangzhou DandelionDrawLanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Our model33%36%31%
Market35%32%33%
Estimated total (ours) 1.73 goals · Bet365 line 1.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic (rating 1457 vs 1520).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Guangzhou DandelionLanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.30.9 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.82.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.13.1 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangzhou Dandelion 011 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

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DateHomeScoreAway
18/10/25
China Division 2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1-0
HT 1-0
Guangzhou Dandelion
14/09/25
China Division 2
Guangzhou Dandelion0-0
HT 0-0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hubei Istar 23977 302534
2 Guangdong Mingtu 236116 232029
3 Dalian Young Boy Reserves 226106 212228
4 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 224144 131626
5 Guangzhou Dandelion 22679 222825
6 Changchun Xidu 234118 172923
7 Wenzhou FC 224108 152322
8 Shanghai Segenda 232912 224015

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Guangzhou Dandelion

DLLDLDLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 58 D
16/08 Ganzhou Ruishi
China Division 2
2-0 3-1 40 W
08/08 Xiamen Feilu
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 43 D
02/08 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
China Division 2
1-0 1-4 53 L
25/07 Wenzhou FC
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 62 D
18/07 Shenzhen 2028
China Division 2
1-1 1-3 32 L
12/07 Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
China Division 2
1-0 1-1 43 D
04/07 Guangdong Mingtu
China Division 2
1-1 1-2 16 L
28/06 Jiangxi Lushan
China Division 2
0-2 0-2 12 L
24/06 Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 52 D

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

DLDDDDWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 34 D
15/08 Shanghai Port Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 68 W
09/08 Dalian Kewei
China Division 2
2-0 2-2 14 D
05/08 Beijing Institute
China Division 2
0-0 1-0 31 W
01/08 Qingdao Red Lions
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 44 D
29/07 Tai'an Tiankuang
China Division 2
1-0 2-2 53 D
25/07 Shanghai Segenda
China Division 2
0-1 2-2 62 D
19/07 Nantong Haimen Codion
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 22 D
04/07 Shandong Taishan Reserves
China Division 2
0-2 1-3 63 L
27/06 Dalian Young Boy Reserves
China Division 2
0-0 0-0 53 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangzhou Dandelion win (34%). Probabilities: Guangzhou Dandelion 34%, draw 34%, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 32%.

How many goals are expected in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

The model expects 1.73 goals (Guangzhou Dandelion 0.89 · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0.84), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.