Prediction: Guangzhou Dandelion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Team pages: Guangzhou Dandelion · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
- Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1-0Guangzhou Dandelion
- Guangzhou Dandelion0-0Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
| Guangzhou Dandelion | Draw | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 36% | 31% |
| Market | 35% | 32% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic (rating 1457 vs 1520).
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guangzhou Dandelion | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guangzhou Dandelion 0–1–1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 China Division 2 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Guangzhou Dandelion |
| 14/09/25 China Division 2 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hubei Istar | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 34 |
| 2 | Guangdong Mingtu | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 28 |
| 4 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 25 |
| 6 | Changchun Xidu | 23 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 29 | 23 |
| 7 | Wenzhou FC | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 22 |
| 8 | Shanghai Segenda | 23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 40 | 15 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guangzhou Dandelion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 04/07 | Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 28/06 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/06 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 09/08 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 05/08 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 29/07 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 19/07 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guangzhou Dandelion win (34%). Probabilities: Guangzhou Dandelion 34%, draw 34%, Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 32%.
How many goals are expected in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?
The model expects 1.73 goals (Guangzhou Dandelion 0.89 · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0.84), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Guangzhou Dandelion vs Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.

