Prediction: Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu
Team pages: Changchun Xidu · Guangdong Mingtu
| Changchun Xidu | Draw | Guangdong Mingtu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 34% | 31% |
| Market | 37% | 31% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Changchun Xidu | Guangdong Mingtu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 2.7 | 2 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hubei Istar | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 34 |
| 2 | Guangdong Mingtu | 23 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 29 |
| 3 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 28 |
| 4 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 22 | 4 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 26 |
| 5 | Guangzhou Dandelion | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 28 | 25 |
| 6 | Changchun Xidu | 23 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 29 | 23 |
| 7 | Wenzhou FC | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 22 |
| 8 | Shanghai Segenda | 23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 22 | 40 | 15 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Changchun Xidu | Guangdong Mingtu |
|---|---|---|
| Hubei Istar | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Shanghai Segenda | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Changchun Xidu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Beijing Institute China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 05/08 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
Guangdong Mingtu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Wenzhou FC China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Hubei Istar China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 27/07 | Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/06 | Xiamen Feilu China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Changchun Xidu win (36%). Probabilities: Changchun Xidu 36%, draw 32%, Guangdong Mingtu 31%.
How many goals are expected in Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu?
The model expects 1.95 goals (Changchun Xidu 1.02 · Guangdong Mingtu 0.93), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Changchun Xidu vs Guangdong Mingtu?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.