Football · China Division 2 · 12/09, 11:00

Prediction: Tai'an Tiankuang vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Team pages: Tai'an Tiankuang · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Tai'an Tiankuang1.59

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves0.99

1X2

50% 28% 22%

Tai'an Tiankuang Draw Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Tai'an Tiankuang 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWWDLDLD

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLDWWLLW

Head-to-head

Tai'an Tiankuang 1–1–0 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves (2 last)

Tai'an Tiankuang2-1Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves1-1Tai'an Tiankuang

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tai'an Tiankuang 1488 · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 1482

	Tai'an Tiankuang	Draw	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Our model	50%	28%	23%
Market	50%	28%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tai'an Tiankuang	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 7	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.25

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.02

Under 2.251.77

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:05 +7’	1.80	3.25	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tai'an Tiankuang 1–1–0 Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/09/25 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	2-1 HT 1-0	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves
23/08/25 China Division 2	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	1-1 HT 0-0	Tai'an Tiankuang

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Relegation Round, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tai'an Tiankuang	22	8	7	7	25	23	31
2	Xiamen Feilu	22	7	8	7	29	28	29
3	Nantong Haimen Codion	22	5	11	6	25	23	26
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	22	6	8	8	19	32	26
5	Qingdao Red Lions	22	5	10	7	22	20	25
6	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	22	5	7	10	18	24	22
7	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	22	4	7	11	20	26	19
8	Beijing Institute	22	3	7	12	21	42	16

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tai'an Tiankuang

LDLWWDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
15/08	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-1	12	6	L
08/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
02/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
29/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
26/07	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-1	3-2	7	1	W
19/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
05/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
28/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
24/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-2	2-3	6	4	L

Wuhan Three Towns Reserves

LLWLDWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	4-0	2	5	W
16/08	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
08/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-0	0-2	5	5	L
02/08	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-1	4-1	8	3	W
29/07	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
26/07	Hubei Istar China Division 2	1-1	1-1	9	1	D
19/07	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-1	0	1	L
04/07	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
28/06	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	0-1	8	1	L
24/06	Wenzhou FC China Division 2	0-1	1-2	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tai'an Tiankuang win (50%). Probabilities: Tai'an Tiankuang 50%, draw 28%, Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 22%.

How many goals are expected in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Tai'an Tiankuang 1.59 · Wuhan Three Towns Reserves 0.99), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tai'an Tiankuang vs Wuhan Three Towns Reserves?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.